Bloomberg Surveillance

Microsoft Corp. reported better-than-expected sales and profit, suggesting customer demand hasn’t been rattled by tariffs and wider economic uncertainty. Total revenue in the fiscal third quarter increased 13% to $70.1 billion, while adjusted profit was $3.46 a share, the company said in a statement Wednesday. Analysts on average estimated sales of $68.5 billion and adjusted per-share earnings of $3.21. Meta Platforms Inc. posted first-quarter sales that beat Wall Street estimates, a sign that the company’s advertising business is so far weathering the Trump administration’s ongoing trade war. Sales were $42.3 billion in the first quarter, the maker of Facebook and Instagram said Wednesday. That beat analysts’ estimates for $41.4 billion for the quarter ended March 31. The company also said current-quarter revenue will be in line with analysts’ expectations, and that it will boost spending as it continues to invest in artificial intelligence. Qualcomm Inc., the biggest maker of chips that run smartphones, gave a tepid revenue prediction for the current quarter, underscoring concerns that tariffs will hurt demand for its products. Revenue in the period ending in June will be $9.9 billion to $10.7 billion, the company said Wednesday in a statement. The midpoint of that range was slightly below the average analyst estimate of $10.33 billion. The outlook renews concern that the market for smartphones is suffering from a looming trade war. For instant reaction and analysis to these results, plus other tech earnings, hosts Tim Stenovec and Carol Massar speak with Bloomberg Intelligence senior technology analysts Mandeep Singh and Kunjan Sobhani. Bloomberg Technology Co-Host Ed Ludlow also joins alongside Clockwise Capital Technology Analyst James Cakmak.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jim Caron & Peter Tchir. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 April 2025

- Max Kettner, Chief Multi-Asset Strategist at HSBC - Ryan Petersen, Chairman, CEO, and founder of Flexport - Christopher Hughes, co-founder of Facebook - Eric Rosengren, Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Max Kettner, Chief Multi-Asset Strategist at HSBC, looks ahead to this week's jobs report and other economic data soon-to-be-released, and whether he sees investors having to weather a recession in 2025. Ryan Petersen, Chairman, CEO, and founder of Flexport, discusses supply chain constraints and navigating the trade war. Christopher Hughes, co-founder of Facebook, discusses the company and Big Tech ahead of Meta earnings. Eric Rosengren, Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, discusses his outlook for the US economy and interest rates and talks Fed independence.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 30th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at Blackrock, joins for an extended discussion on her weekly global credit report and discusses corporate credit spreads and signals from the bond market. Uncertainty continues to be the main theme across the investing world. Veteran emerging-markets investor Mark Mobius said he’s keeping 95% of his funds’ holdings in cash as he waits out the trade-related uncertainty. Hedge funds are reluctant to make major bets amid the turmoil, with the only significant shift in positioning in April being increased bets against US stocks, Bloomberg reported. 2) Jim Caron, CIO of Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, talks about whether the dollar and US treasuries are still safe havens and how he tries to contextualize that discussion. In a broader look at the economy, real GDP likely slowed to a standstill in the first quarter as President Trump’s policy shifts disrupted activity, according to Bloomberg economists. 3) George Goncalves, Head of US Macro Strategy at MUFG Securities Americas, joins to discuss economic fundamentals and incoming eco data and how that, possibly more than policy, will shape markets in the coming months. Stock drifted in early trading as investors await a busy day of earnings and macro data on the final session of an exhausting month. Mag 7 results, GDP and inflation numbers are potential catalysts for market direction. 4) Sinjin Bowron, High Yield Bond and Senior Bank Loan Portfolio Manager at Beach Point Capital, discusses leveraged credit markets, opportunities and challenges amid widening uncertainty, and other signals from the bond market. US Treasuries held recent gains as traders awaited data on inflation and economic growth, as well as the debt management team's plans for sales in the $29 trillion market. 5) Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, brings us into the market open and talks about allocating and staying the course in a slowing economy. Economic data due this week includes inflation and gross-domestic-product data, which will provide a snapshot of US economic activity before President Trump's trade policy shifts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Elizabeth Economy & Ethan Harris. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 29 April 2025

- Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America - Collin Martin, Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab - Kathy Bostjancic Chief Economist at Nationwide - Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America, joins to discuss the outlook for US equities and whether fundamentals are still in place for a bull run. Collin Martin, Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, discusses signals from the bond market and outlook for Treasuries. Kathy Bostjancic, Chief Economist at Nationwide, and Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, preview this week's jobs report and talk about the outlook for the US economy and eco data in the US.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 29 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 29th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Russ Koesterich, Global Head of Investment Strategy for BlackRock Scientific Active Equities, joins for a discussion on near term volatility in stocks and whether the bull run in international stocks is set to slow. Investors are tracking a stream of data for clues on the health of the American economy and prospects for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, with some experts warning of the risk of recession in the US. Tariffs continued to dominate headlines, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent saying the US has put China to the side for now as it seeks trade deals with 15 to 17 other countries. 2) Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove senior fellow and co-director of the U.S., China and the world program at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, joins for a discussion on US-China relations and who has the upper hand in a trade war. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi warned countries against giving in to US tariff threats, saying it would only embolden the "bully". Wang's remarks came as the Trump administration hinted at using new trade tools to pressure Beijing, and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested banning certain exports to China to gain leverage. 3) Ethan Harris, former Head of Research at Bank of America, talks about a potential golden age for the US economy and what a post-Powell Federal Reserve would look like. Currently, Fed Chair Jay Powell is trying to prevent price increases from spreading through the economy due to Donald Trump's tariffs, earning him the nickname "Mr. Too Late" from the president. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at their next meeting, and Powell has emphasized the need to keep longer-term inflation expectations anchored to prevent a one-time price increase from becoming an ongoing inflation problem. 4) Dr. David Dodge, former Governor of the Central Bank of Canada, joins to discuss Mark Carney's victory in the Canadian election. Canada's Liberal Party, led by Carney, is projected to win a fourth consecutive election, but with a narrow margin of victory. Carney's win represents a major turnaround for the Liberals, and he has pledged to focus on strengthening Canada's economic independence and standing up to US President Trump in a trade war. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Fortune's story on a harsh new reality when it comes to groceries and inflation and Business Insider's look at how a Chinese mobile dating game is getting single women across Asia to open their hearts and wallets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 29 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Robert Kaplan & Stephanie Roth. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 April 2025

- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro - Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US - Abigail Yoder, Strategist: US Equity at JPMorgan - Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, joins to discuss whether he's becoming more bullish on the US economy or whether he believes data indicates an incoming slowdown. Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US, discusses the latest on President Trump's trade negotiations and what potential trade deals could look like at this stage. Abigail Yoder, Strategist: US Equity at JPMorgan, looks ahead to this week's earnings and whether they could provide a boon for equities. Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, discusses spreads in corporate bonds and what the bond market is indicating about the US economic backdrop.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 28th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Robert Kaplan, Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs and former Dallas Fed president, joins for a discussion about structural changes in the US economy, the incoming Fed decision and jobs day, and Fed independence. Sources say Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell recently delivered an impassioned defense of central bank independence when he addressed policymakers and finance ministers during a meeting at the International Monetary Fund, which reportedly drew applause. 2) Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, talks about Wolfe's lower-than-consensus NFP call for this week and her expectations for China tariffs. In addition to eco data and trade deals, key company reports this week will be scrutinized for the earnings impact of US trade policies, and fresh readings on the American economy may support hopes of earlier-than-expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. 3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins for a discussion on how Trump's recent poor polling could make his priorities harder to implement, and why Republicans passing their signature tax bill isn't a given. Voter discontent with President Trump's economic stewardship is sinking his popularity as he approaches the 100-day mark of his second term. Republicans aim to pass Trump's tax plan through a process that wouldn't require Democratic votes, but voter angst and the threat of a recession in the next year could make it challenging for Trump to get everything he wants. 4) Joe Lavorgna, Chief Economist at SMBC Nikko Securities, brings us into the market open and talks about President Trump's tariff policy and whether he believes trade negotiations are on the right track. Investors are watching for signs of progress in US trade negotiations, with the Trump administration working on bilateral trade deals with 17 key partners and drafting a framework to handle negotiations with about 18 countries. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a story from the Wall Street Journal on athletes using Ozempic and Business Insider reporting on chick sales amid rising egg prices.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Matt Hornbach and Tim Adams. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 25 April 2025

- Jason Thomas, Head: Global Research & Investment Strategy at the Carlyle Group - Adewale Adeyemo, Former Deputy Secretary at the US Treasury Department - Adena Friedman, Chair and CEO of Nasdaq Inc. - Nathan Sheets, Managing Director: Citi Research We are broadcasting from Washington as the IMF Spring Meetings come to a close. Jason Thomas, Head: Global Research & Investment Strategy at the Carlyle Group, joins for a discussion on the outlook for the US equity market as trade negotiations continue. Adewale Adeyemo, Former Deputy Secretary at the US Treasury Department, discusses recent market gyrations and what the Treasury is capable of doing to help support the economy. Adena Friedman, Chair and CEO of Nasdaq, talks about recent earnings and the IPO outlook. Nathan Sheets, Managing Director: Citi Research, offers his market outlook for 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 25 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 25th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins for an extended discussion on the bond market, the Fed, and outlook for markets. The dollar strengthened in early trading, while the yen and Swiss franc retreated, as investor demand for non-US haven assets waned amid signs of progress in the White House's engagement with major trading partners. 2) Tim Adams, CEO for the Institute of International Finance, joins for an extended discussion on his talks with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent this week and conversations from the IMF. Bessent called for a course correction for the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, saying they serve "critical roles" and the Trump administration is willing to work with them. 3) Meghan Graper, Global Head: Debt Capital Markets at Barclays Capital, talks about the bright side of so much uncertainty: investment grade credit. Currently, markets favor a quarter-point cut in June and a total of three such reductions by year-end, with some experts predicting slow and bumpy progress in US-China relations but possible net positive newsflow via trade deal announcements. 4) Leslie Palti-Guzman, founder at Energy Vista, talks about the liquid natural gas (LNG) being used as a key strategic favor and retaliation in tariff and trade negotiations. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ Story on why baby strollers are getting hit the hardest by China tariffs and the New York Times report on ChatGPT costs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 25 April 2025

Google parent Alphabet reported first-quarter revenue and profit that exceeded analysts’ expectations, buoyed by continued strength in its search advertising business. First-quarter sales, excluding partner payouts, were $76.5 billion, the company said Thursday in a statement. Analysts had expected $75.4 billion on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Net income was $2.81 per share, compared with Wall Street’s estimate of $2.01.The shares, which have declined 16% so far this year, rose more than 3.5% in extended trading following the report. Alphabet needs to ensure momentum in its internet search advertising and cloud businesses in order to justify its heightened investment in the artificial intelligence race. Competition is prompting the company and its rivals to spend heavily on infrastructure, research and talent. While Google benefits from AI startups spending on its cloud and business tools, it’s also racing to present an answer to popular conversational AI chatbots, which consumers are beginning to think of as an alternative to using Google Search. For instant reaction and analysis, hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with: Mark Douglas, MNTN President and CEO Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Tech Industry Analyst Mandeep Singh See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 24 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Daniel Tannebaum & Anna Wong. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 24 April 2025

- Ed Yardeni, President at Yardeni Research - Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management - Philip Lane, Chief Economist at ECB - Jenny Johnson, CEO of Franklin Templeton Investments Ed Yardeni, President at Yardeni Research, discusses his equity outlook, whether he's revising his S&P 500 target as tariffs continue to be negotiated, and if he believes the US will enter a recession. Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, discusses the global economic outlook as globalization and US tariffs reshape global investing. Philip Lane, Chief Economist at ECB, joins to talk about whether investors are turning bullish on Europe despite trade uncertainty with the US. Jenny Johnson, CEO of Franklin Templeton Investments, discusses asset allocation as the investing and business environment remains highly uncertain and volatile.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 24 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 24th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jean Boivin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, joins for an extended discussion on the global economic transformation and how US trade policy is just one piece of the broader geopolitical global economic transformation. As China calls on the US to revoke unilateral tariffs, the country warns of the threat of ongoing frictions to trust in the global economic system and emphasize the need for cooperation to prevent the global economy from sliding into a track of "high friction, low trust". 2) Brian Kingston, President & CEO at the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers’ Association, discusses how President Trump's tariffs will affect Canadian manufacturing, whether a leadership change in Canada will help, and how it could all change if the president backs off on 25% tariffs on car parts. The Financial Times is reporting that rump plans to spare carmakers from some of his most onerous tariffs. 3) Daniel Tannebaum, Partner at Oliver Wyman, joins from the IMF Spring Meetings in DC to discuss what he's hearing about tariffs and developments in a Ukraine-Russia deal. It comes as President Trump is pressuring Ukrainian President Zelenskiy to accept a peace deal, accusing him of prolonging the war, and says he hopes to meet with Russian President Putin soon. The US has proposed a deal that would effectively freeze the conflict, acknowledge Russia's occupation of Crimea, and ease sanctions on Moscow, but Ukraine and Europe want assurances of a ceasefire and security guarantees before any agreement. 4) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, discusses the geopolitical outlook amid an entirely unclear trade war and how policy is shaping markets, or vice versa. Many experts and leaders have called for policy certainty, with Citadel founder Ken Griffin most recently saying President Trump's trade war has derailed business leaders' plans to focus on growth for the next four years. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider report on Costco shoppers cashing in on company rewards and a WSJ report on college graduates facing a tough job market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 24 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Gina Martin Adams & Huw van Steenis. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 23 April 2025

- Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI - Joachim Nagel, President at Deutsche Bundesbank - Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Management - Dan Ives, Head Global Technology at Wedbush Securities Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, offers his S&P 500 outlook amid further uncertainty about tariffs and corporate earnings. Joachim Nagel, President at Deutsche Bundesbank, joins from the IMF Spring Meetings to talk about the outlook for European and global economies as the US levies global tariffs. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Management, talks about the outlook for a US recession this year. Dan Ives, Head Global Technology at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Tesla earnings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 23 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 23rd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Huw van Steenis, Vice Chair at Oliver Wyman, joins in studio for an extended discussion on Nixonian elements of Trump admin, global corporate and business confidence, and how it's all intersecting with what he sees in the financial and banking sectors. Markets and the economy are facing increased uncertainty, with President Trump most recently saying he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, despite his frustration with the central bank not moving more quickly to slash interest rates. Trump wants Powell to lower interest rates, saying it's a "perfect time" to do so, and would like to see the chairman be "early or on time, as opposed to late". 2) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Tesla earnings. CEO Elon Musk says he will devote more time to Tesla starting next month, scaling back his work with the US government, which has been a concern for investors. Tesla's stock jumped 7% despite missing analysts' estimates for revenue and earnings, with the company citing weakness in its core automotive business and tariff headwinds. 3) Chris Grisanti, Chief Equity Strategist at MAI Capital Management, brings us into the market open and what lower corporate earnings will mean for equities. Stocks and bonds rose as global markets reacted positively to the Trump administration's easing of tensions, including President Trump's statement that he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. 4) Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute, joins to discuss turmoil at the Defense Department. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has been courting controversy, including sharing sensitive details about an impending US attack on Houthi militants on an unsecured commercial chat platform and purging some of his handpicked staff. Despite calls for Hegseth to be fired, President Donald Trump remains supportive, attributing the controversies to "disgruntled employees" and saying Hegseth is "doing a great job." 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including WSJ's story on fashion in Little League and Bloomberg's report on the hottest amenity at US airports.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 23 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jeff deGraaf & Brian Belski. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 22 April 2025

- Krishna Guha, Vice Chariman at Evercore ISI - Rob Sockin, Director: Research at Citi - Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President - Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at The Cato Institute Krishna Guha, Vice Chariman at Evercore ISI, offers his outlook for markets and the US economy amid a brutal April for markets. Rob Sockin, Director: Research at Citi, discusses the risks to markets both from President Trump's tariff policy and should the president fire Fed Chair Jay Powell. Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President, discusses Fed independence, tariffs, and the outlook for the US economy. Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at The Cato Institute, talks about the future of Fed independence and Chair Jay Powell.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 22 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney April 22nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head: Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins for a discussion on Jay Powell, market risks, and tariffs. US stocks were higher in futures trading this morning as equities are set to bounce back from Monday's losses as investors weigh progress on trade talks with India and Tesla's upcoming earnings. 2) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, brings us into the market open and discusses whether he remains a US equity bull. President Trump's demands on Jerome Powell to cut rates have raised concerns about the president's willingness to meddle with central bank policy and the impact on the economy. 3) Alicia Garcia-Herrero, Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, joins for a discussion on the dollar as the globe's reserve currency and how the trade war will harm China and the US. This morning, gold topped $3,500 for the first time, and other markets such as stocks, currencies, and commodities experienced mixed movements amid ongoing trade tensions and uncertainty. 4) Warwick McKibbin, non resident Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, talks about his piece from the fall outlining the costs of Trump's tariff and deportation policies as well as his newest analysis released today on the US revenue implications of Trump's tariff plan. 5) Margaret Franklin, CEO of the CFA Institute, joins from our DC studio to discuss the CFA program, how it's evolving, and the impact of AI on the investing profession. 6) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Financial Times report on the marketing campaign of plant-based eggs and the Washington Post's look into the changing economics of college football and how it's affecting the NFL draft.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 22 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Liz Ann Sonders & Damian Sassower. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 21 April 2025

- Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth - Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy - Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book - Barbara Doran, CEO and CIO at BD8 Capital Partners Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, joins for a discussion on her 2025 outlook and whether equities could rebound amid volatility in the first quarter of the year. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses President Trump's tariff policies and turmoil for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Defense Department. Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book, discusses the outlook for the Chinese economy in an intensifying trade war with the US. Barbara Doran, CEO and CIO at BD8 Capital Partners, discusses the outlook for markets amid comments from President Trump for a desired change at the Fed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 21 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 21st, 2025 Featuring: 1) Julia Coronado, President/Founder of Macropolicy Perspectives, joins to discuss the precarious position the Fed is put in amid incoming tariffs and the possibility of higher inflation, and when or if Jay Powell will cut rates this year. The dollar weakened sharply as traders reacted to the possibility that President Donald Trump will try to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. 2) Meghan Clark, professor at St. John's University, talks about the death of Pope Francis. He encouraged Catholics to embrace a more compassionate view on many issues but found it difficult to close the book on past abuses by clergy. He was 88, and passed away 7:35 a.m. Monday in Rome, the Vatican said in a statement. He had been hospitalized in Rome in mid-February with bronchitis, which progressed to pneumonia in both lungs — the last in a litany of respiratory and other medical challenges he had faced. On Sunday, he had met with US Vice President JD Vance. 3) Gautam Mukunda, Bloomberg Opinion contributor and Yale School of Management professor, joins for a discussion on politics and the forces pushing back or accepting certain norms being challenged by the Trump administration. President Trump is continuing his calls for a change at the head of the Fed, and there's growing pressure on US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid reports of turmoil at the Pentagon. 4) Drew Matus, Chief Market Strategist at Metlife Investment Management, brings us into the market open and discusses the prospect of a recession as the US enters "trade war hell." 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including The Boston Globe looking into the best places to eat along the route of the Boston Marathon and Business Insider's story on men are getting cosmetic treatments and anti-aging procedures.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 21 April 2025

Netflix reported first-quarter profit that exceeded Wall Street forecasts, boosted by a recent price increase and a strong slate of programming across the globe, like the hit UK series Adolescence. The owner of the world’s most popular online TV network said in a statement Thursday that earnings rose 25% to $6.61 a share, easily beating analysts’ estimates of $5.68. Sales grew 13% to $10.5 billion, in line with projections. This is the first time Netflix has reported financial results without disclosing how many customers it added or lost — the main yardstick investors previously used to gauge the company’s performance. Management is forcing investors to judge its success or failure based on more traditional financial metrics. The company boosted operating income by 27% to $3.3 billion, beating expectations of $3 billion. Its operating margin of 31.7% was more than three percentage points above its own forecast. For instant reaction and analysis, hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with Bloomberg News Entertainment Reporter Lucas Shaw and Mark Douglas, President and CEO of MNTN.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Amanda Lynam & Anastasia Amoroso. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 April 2025

- Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge - Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US - Jean Boivin, Global Head: Research & Investment Institute at BlackRock - Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at New York Life Investment Management Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge and Bloomberg Opinion columnist and Jean Boivin, Global Head: Research & Investment Institute at BlackRock, discuss the outlook for stocks and US economic growth, as well as concerns signaled from the bond market. Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US, discusses President Trump's political and economic priorities as tariff negotiations continue. Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at New York Life Investment Management, offers her outlook for stocks and the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 17th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at Blackrock, talks about signals from the bond market, corporate credit spreads, and whether the market just experienced a tariff tantrum or whether deeper problems lie underneath. Following bond market turmoil triggered by the announcement of broad US levies earlier this month, investors are focusing more on developments in country-specific trade negotiations. 2) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, brings us into the market open and discusses her outlook for growth in equities and the US economy. President Donald Trump said there was “big progress” in talks to strike a deal for Japan, which stocks responded to positively in pre-market trading ahead of the holiday weekend. 3) Jay Timmons, CEO and President of National Association of Manufacturers, joins to discuss manufacturing regulations and red tape, strengthening the manufacturing workforce, and whether tariffs and other Trump admin policies could actually revitalize manufacturing labor. Manufacturing output increased 5.1% in the first quarter, the most since late 2021, as customers boosted orders before tariffs hikes took effect. Despite the gain, manufacturing faces headwinds from higher material costs, trade policy uncertainty, and tariffs, which may impact production and investment plans this year and next year. 4) Ali Mortell, Director of Research at Blue Rose Research, joins to discuss Blue Rose's presentation that's made waves through Democratic politics, highlighting support President Trump garnered in 2024, how Democrats could claw back some voters, and what is the identity of the Democratic party. 5) Whitney Tilson, former hedge fund manager and NYC Mayoral candidate, discusses his candidacy and policy proposals, how he plans to gain support over Cuomo and Adams, and what the identity of the Democratic party should be. Billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman donated $250,000 to a super PAC supporting former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo in New York City's mayoral race after Ackman hosted a fundraiser for Tilson's bid earlier this year. 6) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story Costco's Kirkland brand bringing customers to the beer aisle and a New York Times report on possible signs of life on a distant planet.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Dan Ives & Matt King. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 16 April 2025

- Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth - Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock - Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co - John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, discusses her outlook for equities and whether she believes they'll end the year in positive territory amid tariff policy uncertainty. Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock, discusses warning signals from the bond market. Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co, talks about President Trump's economic policies and how economic and political policies will be shaped in Washington in the coming months. John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines, discusses his company and the state of the industry.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 16 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 16th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, joins for an extended discussion on the market backdrop amid the US tariff pause and the near- and long-term risks of a financial accident. Investors get hints of economic sentiment today with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell giving a speech in Chicago and the release of March retail sales today. 2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, on the Nvidia chip restrictions. Technology stocks fell due to new US government restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and a disappointing report from ASML Holding NV, wiping out $155 billion in market value. 3) Matt King, founder at Satori Insights, brings us into retail sales and talks about why the US could be on the cusp of a crisis. The fallout of US Nvidia chip curbs are one factor affecting growth: it could weigh on chip-sector earnings and set back China's ambitions to compete on the global tech stage, with economists scaling back their forecasts for GDP growth worldwide. 4) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, joins for an extended discussion on the US dollar, Treasuries, and US exceptionalism. The demand dynamic for US Treasuries is shifting, with foreign demand declining, and the relationship between the US dollar and Treasury yields is weakening, leading to concerns about the dollar's haven status and the US deficit. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Bloomberg story on the boom in ultra-luxury ships and WalletHub's findings on cities with the most affordable rent.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 16 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jurrien Timmer & Constance Hunter. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 15 April 2025

- Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia - Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management - Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy - Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA Republican Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin sits down with Surveillance to discuss his policy initiatives for the state, how the Republican party is functioning in a second Trump term, and his response to the president's economic and political priorities. Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses signals from the bond market and whether there is broader concern of a rotation away from US assets. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses whether President Trump's tariff policy could change amid its 90-day pause. Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA, reacts to today's bank earnings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 15 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 15th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, talks about whether the US is staring down a financial crisis as President Trump negotiates trade deals with other countries. While stocks are getting a boost as President Trump floats a potential pause in auto tariffs, ongoing trade tensions and concerns remain about the impact of tariffs on the economy. 2) Christopher Maher, CEO of OceanFirst Bank, discusses how inflation and tariffs are affecting how he operates his business and how clients are responding to changing conditions. Investor sentiment toward the economy is the most negative in three decades, with fund managers expecting the global economy to weaken and planning to reduce exposure to US equities, which is causing increasing challenges for business operators. 3) Sebastien Page, head of Global Multi-Asset and Chair of the Asset Allocation Steering Committee at T. Rowe Price, talks about his new book and demonstrating leadership in a growing uncertain market. Markets are showing signs of consolidating as Trump’s tariff exemptions haved raised hopes there may be room for negotiations after the president’s reciprocal levies this month wiped $10 trillion off global equities and spurred a rout in Treasuries. At the same time, the US is pressing forward with plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports by initiating trade probes led by the Commerce Department. 4) Scott Stringer, Former NYC Comptroller & NYC Mayoral Candidate, joins as part of our NYC mayoral race coverage to discuss New York City, Mayor Eric Adams' leadership, city finances, congestion pricing, and other issues. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ report on Netflix's market cap target and Business Insider's story on iPhone tricks to avoid increased costs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 15 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Steve Chiavarone & Lori Calvasina. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 14 April 2025

- Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities - Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP - Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners - David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities and ADP's Nela Richardson discuss the outlook for equities and potential for further market volatility amid uncertain tariff policy from the Trump administration. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners, discusses President Trump's tariffs and the GOP tax plan. David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds, reacts to Goldman Sachs earnings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 14 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 14th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for equities and where her S&P target stands. Stocks jumped once President Trump paused import duties on consumer electronics, boosting sentiment. Despite the reprieve, volatility in markets is expected to continue. 2) Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, discusses the outlook for equities, and whether there's a bull case in the market given the concern. While the Dollar has struggled, yen optimism is spreading and the euro is emerging as a prime beneficiary of greenback weakness as investors reassess the dollar’s role in the global financial system. 3) Penny Foley, Portfolio Manager for the TCW Emerging Markets Group, on what she expects from the emerging markets environment given uncertain US policy. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index fell for a fifth day, touching the lowest levels since October, on concern over the Trump administration's tariff policy, and its effects are expected to ripple throughout emerging markets. 4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss on again, off again tariffs and newfound urgency for the tax bill. President Trump is prioritizing extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act this year, with Republicans in Congress agreeing on a framework to make the cuts permanent. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Dubai dethroning Heathrow as the world's busiest international airport and why there may be fewer outdoor dining spots in New York City this year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 14 April 2025

Investors are on edge as rapid tariff headlines inject unprecedented volatility across global markets. Bloomberg Surveillance hosts Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz set the stage for the week ahead with insight and commentary from some of the biggest names on Wall Street. - Bob Michele, Global Head of Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management - Libby Cantrill, Managing Director & Head of Public Policy at PIMCO - Stuart Kaiser, Head of Equity Trading Strategy at CitigroupSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 13 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Savita Subramanian & Jordan Rochester. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 11 April 2025

- Christopher Wright, US Energy Secretary - Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors - Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy - Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO US Energy Secretary Christopher Wright discusses the Trump administration's energy strategy amid a trade war with China and the outlook for energy and gas prices. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors, discusses equity gyrations and if market volatility is set to continue amid a growing trade war with China. Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, talks about her S&P 500 outlook amid growing policy uncertainty. Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO, talks about this week's bond market moves and if it's offering other warning signs today.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 11 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney April 11th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, on rapid de-dollarization as the trade war with China heats up. China is raising tariffs on all US goods from 84% to 125% starting April 12, in response to the US's latest tariffs. The escalating trade war has led to a decline in global financial markets, with S&P 500 futures and European stocks falling, and the dollar extending its decline. 2) Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins to discuss the bond market's pushback this week and what it's signaling and President Trump pushes ahead with his trade war with China. Investors are flocking to bunds as a safe-haven asset after the US Treasuries' historically bad week, leaving German yields largely unchanged, while the rate on the US 10-year debt has surged more than 40 basis points. 3) Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quant Strategy at Bank of America, brings us into PPI and discusses the outlook for inflation and equities in the US amid a growing China trade war. The inflation slowdown reflected is yesterday's CPI showed a decline in energy costs, used vehicles, hotel stays, and airfares, with the cost of motor vehicle insurance also retreating. Some experts still warn that higher inflation may be coming due to tariffs, with the impact expected to be felt in the May CPI report. 4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss why the Fed's breathing easier today, but why the market volatility isn't over yet. US-China trade tensions escalated, causing a slide in futures, the dollar, and oil, with investors rushing to assess the impact on companies and growth. 5) Erica Groshen, former Commissioner of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, on disruption in federal statistics, modernizing federal statistics, and preserving data integrity. A Labor Department report released in December showed the US Bureau of Labor Statistics needs to revamp its culture and improve how it disseminates key economic data.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 11 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Ian Lyngen & Anna Wong. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 10 April 2025

- Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock - Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects - Erika Najarian, Equity Research Analyst at UBS - Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, discusses the equity rebound following President Trump's tariff reversal and whether the market could continue its climb from here. Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects, discusses the outlook for crude oil and energy prices as market concerns due to a US-China trade war persist. Erika Najarian with UBS previews big bank earnings and talks about the health of the financial sector. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, talks about the US economic outlook following extreme market gyrations from President Trump's tariff reversal.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 10 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 10th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Patrick Armstrong, CIO at Plurimi Wealth, Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, and Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, react to CPI and discuss the outlook for bonds and equities following President Trump's tariff reversal. Strategists have warned investors against buying the dip in equities due to the risks ahead, with some advising caution amid extreme market volatility. 2) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss signals from the bond market before and after President Trump's tariff reversal and the outlook for US rates amid the current US economic backdrop. Trump's tariff reversal decision was driven in part by the chaos in financial markets, as well as outreach from other countries making concessions, and he is now considering exemptions for companies facing severe consequences from tariffs. 3) Nancy Tengler, CEO & CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, talks "amateur hour" at The White House and why markets need a better policy rollout to sustain a rally after Trump's tariff pause. After a frenetic meeting with economic aides, President Trump implemented a three-month pause on expanded tariffs on dozens of countries, excluding China, and raised tariffs on the world's second-largest economy. It comes after the president promised that his policies would "never" change.s 4) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy at Mizuho, on the bond market signals to President Trump and market risks from here. The dollar weakened to begin Thursday as concern reemerges about potential longer-term damage to the global economy from conflict over trade. 5) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, on the commodity turnaround on Trump's tariff reversal and how softs will fare as trade deals are renegotiate. It comes as the flow of oil from the world’s biggest producer to its largest importer is set to thin to virtually zero as a trade war between the two powerhouse economies escalates.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 10 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Ira Jersey & Pat Haskell. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 April 2025

- Chris Harvey, Head: Equity Strategy at Wells Fargo - Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries - Richard Bernstein, CEO and CIO at Richard Bernstein Advisors - Ruchir Sharma, CIO at Breakout Capital Partners Chris Harvey, Head: Equity Strategy at Wells Fargo, joins to discuss whether equities could fall further now that President Trump's tariffs have taken effect. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, talks about guidance and earnings from airlines and how tariffs could affect profit margins. Richard Bernstein of Richard Bernstein Advisors discusses the outlook for equities and bond amid recent selloffs. Ruchir Sharma, CIO at Breakout Capital Partners, talks about how public policy is reshaping markets and talks about the US economic outlook this year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 April 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 9th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Viktor Hjort, Global Head of Credit Strategy at BNP Paribas, joins to discuss the global bond selloff and whether the Fed will have to step in. The yield on 30-year US Treasuries briefly surpassed 5%, fueling the biggest selloff since 2020, with investors worried about President Donald Trump's tariffs and their potential impact on the economy and inflation. 2) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, joins for an extended discussion on tariffs, the US economy, and outlook for inflation and stagflation. Theories abound about the cause of the bond selloff, including foreign selling of US debt, hedge funds unwinding positions, and a re-evaluation of US government debt by global reserve managers, with some predicting the Federal Reserve may need to step in to stabilize the bond market. 3) Greg Peters, Co-CIO at PGIM Fixed Income, discusses the bond market rout this morning. China retaliated to US tariffs with new levies of its own, causing a global market selloff, with US equity futures falling over 2% and European stocks plunging 4%. The selloff has affected various markets, including currencies, cryptocurrencies, bonds, and commodities, with oil prices falling to around $55 a barrel and the dollar weakening. 4) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at Yale Budget Lab, talks about their latest report on tariffs now that they've been implemented. Trump's reciprocal tariffs are now in place, imposing levies on China and 60 other trading partners with trade surpluses with the US. The tariffs have raised concerns about a full-blown trade war, with Asian countries bearing the brunt, and have led to a selloff in Treasuries and a decline in Asian and European shares. 5) Amanda Agati, CIO: Asset Allocation at PNC, on her equity outlook given tariffs and cracks emerging in the credit market. The US stock index has plunged nearly 19% since its February peak and is flirting with bear market levels, with the benchmark closing below the 5,000 level for the first time in nearly a year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 April 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Dr. Paul Krugman & Libby Cantrill. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 8 April 2025