Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jack Devine & Michael Darda. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Published: 18 June 2025

- Rafael Grossi, IAEA Director - Jim Bullard, Dean of the Purdue Business School and former St. Louis Fed President - Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment and Portfolio Strategist, Americas at BlackRock - Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors Rafael Grossi, IAEA Director, joins to discuss the outlook for global energy prices amid the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. Jim Bullard, Dean of the Purdue Business School and former St. Louis Fed President, looks ahead to today's Fed meeting and discusses whether the Fed will soon cut rates. Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment and Portfolio Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, talks about the outlook for equities amid continued global uncertainty and rising geopolitical tensions. Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, talks about whether the Fed will lower rates should the labor market show signs of deteriorating.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Published: 18 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 18th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jack Devine, founder at The Arkin Group, joins to discuss what US involvement in the Middle East conflict could look like and how US national security could weigh striking Iran. An overnight meeting between President Trump and his national security team has raised speculation that the US may join Israel's attacks against Iran. Trump has posted demands for Iran's "UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER" and threatened a possible strike against the country's leader, while Iran has reiterated its intention to respond with force if the US gets involved. 2) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, joins for a look ahead to the Fed and talks about the outlook for inflation and markets. Socks and bonds posted small gains as investors waited for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision and new economic forecasts. The Fed's latest projections for growth, unemployment, and interest rates will be closely watched. 3) Win Thin, Global Head: Markets Strategy Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., reacts to jobless claims and looks ahead to the Fed and potential for more inflation in the US. Fed policymakers face heightened uncertainty as geopolitical tension add to the inflation and labor market risks that are tied to the Trump administration’s tariff policies. 4) Leslie Palti-Guzman, founder at Energy Vista, talks about rapidly rising oil prices and if there will be any let up as Middle East fighting continues. Oil prices pulled back from a near five-month high, with Brent crude trading below $76 a barrel, as markets awaited news on US involvement in the Middle East conflict. Middle Eastern oil that loads outside the Persian Gulf and Malaysian crude are gaining popularity among Asian buyers due to the Israel-Iran conflict threatening the Strait of Hormuz. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on Dallas Cowboys cheerleaders getting a 400% pay raise and a WSJ story on private space stations racing to be the next popular travel destination.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Published: 18 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Bob Hormats & Meredith Whitney. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 June 2025

- Reza Pahlavi, Son of the Shah of Iran - Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI - Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP - Pooja Sriram, VP:US Economics Research Reza Pahlavi, Son of the Shah of Iran, joins to discuss the growing conflict between Israel and Iran and whether the country will work with the US on a deal to stop the fighting. Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI, joins to preview this week's Fed meeting and discusses his outlook for the US economy. Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP, talks about the G7 summit, President Trump leaving early, and where the US stands on trade deals. Pooja Sriram, VP:US Economics Research, offers his outlook for the US economy and interest rates.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 17th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Bob Hormats, Vice Chairman of Kissinger Associates, talks about the history of the G7 and the significance of President Trump leaving early today to deal with the conflict in the Middle East. President Trump left the G7 meeting in Canada early to deal with the Israel-Iran conflict, but downplayed the chances of a ceasefire. Despite Trump's comments, top US officials said the president remains hopeful a peace deal can be achieved between Israel and Iran, with Trump's top Middle East envoy possibly meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi later this week. 2) Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading Strategy Citi, joins to discuss whether the equity rally in the US could face further headwinds or if there's just immediate headline risk. The market is gauging the risks of an escalation in hostilities and broader involvement, with a focus on oil prices, which could soar if Tehran disrupts shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. 3) Jerome Schneider, Head: Short Term Portfolio Management & Funding at PIMCO, discusses the upcoming Fed meeting and why not all cash is king when it comes to defensive investing. The Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday will be closely watched, with policymakers signaling an extended hold on interest rates and investors looking for clues on what might eventually prompt the central bank to make a move. 4) Meredith Whitney, CEO at Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, joins to talk about US economic risks and why the July 3rd jobs report could mark a breaking point in the US economy. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Business Insider's story on Costco testing stand-alone gas stations for members and the NYT story on Americans watching streaming.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 17 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Campbell Harvey & Ed Morse. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 16 June 2025

- Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock - Aaron David Miller, Senior Fellow for Carnegie Endowment for International Peace - Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council - Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist for Mizuho Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, joins for a discussion on the bond market, corporate credit spreads, and whether bonds are indicating a slowdown in the US economy. Aaron David Miller, Senior Fellow for Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, discusses the latest on the conflict between Israel and Iran and the chances of escalation. Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, talks about the outlook for energy prices amid conflict in the Middle East. Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist for Mizuho, offers his outlook for inflation, the Fed, and the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 16 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 16th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Ed Morse, Senior Advisor at Hartree Partners and former Head of Global Commodities at Citi, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for global oil and commodities. The hostilities between Israel and Iran disrupted market momentum, but traders increasingly anticipate that the conflict will remain contained, leading to dip-buying on Monday. In the premarket, Brent crude dropped 0.4% after initially soaring as much as 5.5% following a weekend of attacks. Gold dropped 0.5% from Friday’s all-time high. 2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the latest DC headlines including President Trump's trip to the G7 in Canada and the US' role in the Israel-Iran conflict. The conflict has caused damage to the US consulate in Tel Aviv, and has led to a rise in global energy prices. Hostilities between Israel and Iran have entered a fourth day, with no sign of easing, and have resulted in hundreds of deaths. 3) Cam Harvey, professor at Duke's Fuqua School of Business, looks ahead to this week's Fed meeting and talks about why gold is continuing to rise as a hedge. Markets are looking ahead to interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, as well as a meeting of the Group of Seven nations, later this week. 4) Whitney Tilson, NYC mayoral candidate and former hedge fund manager, talks about his candidacy for NYC mayor ahead of the Democratic primary next week. Early voters are flocking to polls as leaders are emerging in the packed list of candidates: former NY Governor Andrew Cuomo and state assemblyman Zohran Mamdani. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including WSJ's story on the next big thing in luxury travel and Bloomberg Screentime's story on YouTube serving as a longform platform for videos.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 16 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Tina Fordham. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 13 June 2025

- Danny Danon, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations - Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist at PGIM Fixed Income - Steven Cook, Senior Fellow: Middle East at Council on Foreign Relations - Jim Farley, President & CEO at Ford Motor Co. Danny Danon, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations, discusses the latest developments in the Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist at PGIM Fixed Income, joins to discuss the Treasury outlook after yesterday's auction and the spike in yields after Israel's strike on Iran. Steven Cook, Senior Fellow: Middle East at Council on Foreign Relations, joins to discuss the latest on Israeli strikes on Iran. Jim Farley, President & CEO at Ford Motor Co., talks about the latest updates from his company and how they're navigating a new geopolitical, tech, and economic environment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 13 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 13th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, joins for a discussion on the reshaped geopolitical landscape after Israel's strike on Iran. The conflict could impact oil prices, with scenarios ranging from a moderate increase to $75 per barrel if Iran's oil facilities are attacked, to a more extreme scenario of $130 per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz is closed. The US's role in the conflict is uncertain, with possible scenarios including Tehran trying to keep the US out of the war, symbolic attacks against the US, or Iran targeting US positions in the region. 2) Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East, on Israel striking Iran and the consequences for the US and Middle East. The attacks risk plunging the Middle East into crisis, hitting the global economy, and escalating into a broader regional conflict, with the US and other nations calling for diplomatic de-escalation. 3) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, discusses the potential for Treasuries and the Dollar becoming a safe haven amid Middle East tensions and whether US exceptionalism is fading. Treasuries rose due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions, strong auctions, and cooling inflation data, with yields falling 1-2 basis points across the curve. 4) Gautam Mukunda, Professor at Yale School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses the US' role in the Israel-Iran conflict and how it could affect the upcoming Iran Nuclear Deal talks. President Trump urges Iran to accept a nuclear deal to avoid further attacks, after Israel bombed Iran's atomic facilities and killed top commanders. Israel struck around 100 targets across Iranian cities, causing oil prices to surge and investors to buy havens, and Iran responded with a wave of drones towards Israel. 5) Matt Luzzetti, Chief Economist at Deutsche Bank, talks about the changing US economic outlook amid rising Middle East tensions. Treasuries rose due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions, strong auctions, and cooling inflation data, with yields falling 1-2 basis points across the curve. duropean government bonds initially jumped but then reversed gains as focus turned to the impact of higher oil prices on inflation.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 13 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Frances Donald & Richard Clarida. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 12 June 2025

- Lindsay Rosner, Head: Multi-Sector Investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management - Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies - Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC - Adam Posen, President at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Lindsay Rosner, Head: Multi-Sector Investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, joins to react to PPI and discusses signals from the bond market. Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies, joins to discuss tensions in the Middle East as the US ordered some staff to leave its embassy in Baghdad after Iran threatened to strike American assets in the Middle East. Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, discusses her outlook for the Fed and US economy. Adam Posen, President at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, talks about the economic impact of unilateral tariff rates.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 12 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 12th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, joins for a discussion on CPI and the labor market and whether the Fed will be late to cut rates. The Federal Reserve is rewriting its strategy document to balance the lessons learned from low inflation before the pandemic and the painful high inflation that followed, aiming to maximize economic benefits for working Americans while controlling inflation. 2) Rich Clarida, Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO and former Fed Vice Chair, joins for an extended conversation on the Fed, rates, and the US economy. Today's 30-year Treasury auction is providing a fresh gauge of investor appetite for long-dated debt amid concerns over mounting deficits and their impact on demand. 3) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, talks about the outlook for the 10-year-yield and brings us into PPI. President Trump's remarks on imposing unilateral tariffs on dozens of US trading partners and heightened tensions in the Middle East contributed to the risk-off tone across markets today. 4) Anton Posner, CEO at Mercury Resources, discusses how tariffs are affecting shipping and maritime industries and whether it will show up in the economic and consumer data and unilateral tariffs go into place. President Trump has threatened to impose higher duties on dozens of economies, but has only reached a trade framework with the UK and a tariff truce with China, which was recently threatened.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 12 June 2025

- Bob Diamond, CEO at Atlas Merchant Capital - Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo - Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley - David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management Bob Diamond, CEO at Atlas Merchant Capital, joins for a discussion on markets and talks about the outlook for US equities and the US economy. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, talks about the potential for a credit crunch and US slowdown. Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, react to CPI.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 11 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 11th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Mona Mahajan, Senior Investment Strategist at Edward Jones, Gina Martin Adams, Chief US Equity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Winnie Cisar, Global Head: Strategy at CreditInsights, react to CPI. While the CPI reading remains important as an indicator of the path of US inflation, traders are waiting to get clarification on what the real trade story is and how much global growth will be impacted. 2) Virginie Maisonneuve, Global CIO Equity at Allianz, joins to discuss the global equity outlook and how inflation could play a role in US and global investments. Financial markets are closely watching whether the US and China could tamp down tensions that economists say have tipped the global economy into a downturn. After some 20 hours of negotiations in London, US officials said both sides had established a framework to revive the flow of sensitive goods, even though the plan still needs sign-off from Trump and Xi Jinping. 3) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, talks about her S&P 500 target and how that could be changed by today's inflation reading. Investors have been shifting to under-owned, riskier pockets of the market like small caps and high-beta stocks, with Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott citing a “right-tail” risk. 4) Karen Manna, Vice President at Federated Hermes, joins to discuss warnings signs from the bond market and opportunities for bond investors. Bond vigilantes remain focused on the US debt and deficit as uncertainty over tariffs and inflation continue. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on an AI company looking to take white collar jobs and a story in The Times on parents valuing baby girls over boys.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 11 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Isabelle Mateos y Lago & Francisco Blanch. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 10 June 2025

- Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley - Matt Luzzetti, Chief US Economist at Deutsche Bank - Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners - Tony Rodriguez, Head of Fixed Income Strategy at Nuveen Asset Management Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, discusses whether the equity rally since April can continue with less choppiness than many anticipate. Matt Luzzetti, Chief US Economist at Deutsche Bank, joins for a preview of CPI and where he believes the path for interest rates and inflation is in 2025. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses the latest on the tax bill and other political headlines. Tony Rodriguez, Head of Fixed Income Strategy at Nuveen Asset Management, discusses warnings from the bond market in 2025 and whether the market could experience a credit crunch amid a tight economic environment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 10 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 10th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Isabelle Mateos y Lago, Chief Global Economist at BNP Paribas, joins in studio for a discussion on the global impact of tariffs and what to expect from CPI. It comes as the US and China are resuming trade talks in London, aiming to agree on exports of key tech and industrial goods and avoid escalating their trade war. The outcome of the talks is being closely watched by financial markets. 2) Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities at Bank of America Securities, joins to discuss how the trade war is upending agriculture market fundamentals and the outlook for energy and global commodities. It comes as the oil market is expected to be in surplus later this year due to a Saudi-led output surge and increasing production from outside OPEC+. Its trajectory will depend on factors such as OPEC+ output, trade wars, and demand growth. 3) David Doyle, Head of Economics and leads coverage in the Americas at Macquarie, discusses the US labor market and inflation as well as the view from Canada. Despite an increase in optimism from small businesses and market watchers amid an equity market rally, the uncertainty index rose, driven by concerns over President Trump's tariffs and tax legislation, with taxes ranking as the single most important problem. 4) Jeff deGraaf, Head: Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins for an extended discussion on market fundamentals amid continued policy uncertainty from DC. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT report on sharing while traveling and Business Insider's story on one Wall Street analyst using AI to predict a major antitrust case.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 10 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Ben Laidler & Charles Kantor. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 June 2025

- Andrew Hollenhorst, Chief US Economist at Citi - Elizabeth Economy, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution - Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities at Bank of America - Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors Andrew Hollenhorst, Chief US Economist at Citi, discuses his outlook for the US economy and why his team is changing their rate cut prediction for 2025. Elizabeth Economy, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, discusses the latest developments in US-China trade negotiations. Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities at Bank of America, talks about the outlook for commodities and oil and energy prices globally. Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, breaks down the health of the labor market and where it's trending in 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 9th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Ben Laidler, Head of Equity Strategy at Bradesco BBI, joins for an extended discussion on equity bullishness and where he believes the S&P can land in 2025. The S&P 500 benchmark is nearing all-time highs, but traders are searching for catalysts for sustained advances amid ongoing trade uncertainty. 2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss DC headlines including the riots in LA and latest on the tax bill after Elon Musk's White House fallout. Senate Republicans plan to propose revised tax and health-care provisions to President Trump's $3 trillion economic package, despite criticism from Elon Musk. 3) Charles Kantor, Senior Portfolio Manager at Neuberger Berman, talks about why history rhymes between now and the 2000 .com bubble and the potential for a consumer crunch. Markets are focusing on a $22 billion auction of 30-year bonds on Thursday and Wednesday's US inflation report for May, which may show a slightly faster pace of price increases. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Bloomberg reporting on baseball's TV deal and WSJ's look at Father's Day gifts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 June 2025

Former New York Governor Andrew joined Bloomberg Surveillance to talk about his candidacy for Mayor of New York City, President Trump's immigration policies and the state of the Democratic party.  He speaks with Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 9 June 2025

- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock - Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research - Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities - Ed Mills, Washington Policy Analyst with Raymond James Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, discusses the feud between Elon Musk and President Trump and how it's affecting Tesla stock, Musk's other companies, and his personal wealth. Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock and Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research offer their analysis of May nonfarm payrolls data and discuss the outlook for the labor market. Ed Mills, Washington Policy Analyst with Raymond James, discusses President Trump's agenda and his public feud with Elon Musk.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 6 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 6th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy for RBC Capital Markets, and Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager with Invesco, react to the May nonfarm payrolls report. Data released earlier this week signaled a softening labor market, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year. 2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, discusses the feud between Elon Musk and President Trump and how it's affecting Tesla stock, Musk's other companies, and his personal wealth. After Tesla shares tanked 14% and Musk's personal wealth dropped by $34 billion, Musk signaled a willingness to cool tensions with Trump, responding to a user's advice to "cool off and take a step back for a couple days" with "Good advice." 3) Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, brings us into the market open and discusses how the jobs report is affecting markets. US yields Thursday rebounded from session lows after an unexpected increase in new jobless claims, with traders pricing in an earlier start to Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. 4) Jennifer Harris, former Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for International Economics on the National Security Council and the National Economic Council, on her Foreign Affairs article "The Post-Neoliberal Imperative" and the realignment of a "new centrism" in American politics.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 6 June 2025

- Mike Johnson, Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives - Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman and Head of Central Bank Strategy at Evercore ISI - Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Strategy at Mizuho - Krishna Memani, CIO at Lafayette College Mike Johnson, Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives, joins for a discussion on the House tax bill and how he hopes his party will look to get it passed through the Senate. Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman and Head of Central Bank Strategy at Evercore ISI, joins for a discussion on the outlook for the US economy and the Fed. Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Strategy at Mizuho, reacts to the ECB decision and discusses dollar strength. Krishna Memani, CIO at Lafayette College, reacts to jobless claims and discusses how the labor market could impact US markets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 5 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 5th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, joins for an extended discussion on labor market strength and whether we are on the cusp of a breaking of US labor. Friday's jobs report is expected to show slowed growth in nonfarm payrolls and a steady unemployment rate, with traders awaiting fresh data on the US economy. 2) Vishy Tirupattur, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Morgan Stanley, joins to discuss bond market warnings and reacts to jobless claims. A series of poorly received sovereign bond auctions worldwide has raised questions about investors' willingness to fund government spending plans. Recent auctions in Japan, Australia, and South Korea have shown weak demand, and investors are demanding more compensation to hold long-dated bonds due to growing anxiety about fiscal deficits. 3) Julia Coronado, President and founder of Macropolicy Perspectives, joins to talk about the June FOMC meeting and whether there'll be more Fed cuts than is being priced in. A trend of higher global yields is a warning sign from investors that governments cannot keep borrowing at the pace they did when interest rates were close to zero. 4) Neale Richmond, Ireland’s Minister of State for Diaspora and International Development, on how the EU is negotiating with the US on tariffs. It comes as the EU's power to impose retaliatory tariffs on US goods and services received a legal boost from an adviser to the EU's top court. 5) Romi Savova, CEO at PensionBee, discusses bringing efficiency to the retirement systems in the US and abroad and how money managers can better position people to retire.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 5 June 2025

- Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth - Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University - Jim Caron, CIO: Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management - Molly Brooks, US Rates Strategist at TD Securities Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, offers her outlook for equities in 2025 as trade tensions heighten while good jobs data reinforces a rally. Jim Caron, CIO: Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses continued warning signs about the US economy coming from the bond market and talks about how momentum factors into investment strategies. Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, talks about the latest trade tensions with China and other priorities of the Trump administration. Molly Brooks, US Rates Strategist at TD Securities, talks about whether the US could see multiple rate cuts by the end of 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 4 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 4th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Robert Kaplan, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs, joins to discuss the Fed, interest rates, and resiliency of the US economy. US stock futures hold onto two days of gains as investors await labor market data, which has so far held up better than expected amid the Trump administration's trade war. 2) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, discusses his recent findings on the impact of tariffs on US companies and the US economy. Investors will follow services data and ADP's report on private-sector employment for updated information on the strength of the US economy, ahead of Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, as the market continues to climb on healthy eco data and in spite of tariffs. 3) Sassan Ghahramani, President and CEO at SGH Macro Advisors, joins to discuss President Trump's social media post upending US-China trade sentiment. President Trump called Xi Jinping "VERY TOUGH, AND EXTREMELY HARD TO MAKE A DEAL WITH" in a late-night social media post, raising questions about the fragile economic truce between the US and China. Tensions between the two countries are increasing, with the US recently barring the shipping of critical jet engine parts to China and seeking to slap fresh curbs on Huawei= chips, among other measures. 4) Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, talks about the air traffic controller concern for airlines and offers her analyst recommendations for US airlines. 5) Eric Rosen, author at The Rosen Report and former head of credit trading at UBS, talks about the dollar's position on the globe and how deficits and debt could weigh on it. While some economists fear a notable weakening in US employment in coming months under the weight of tariffs, that hasn’t shown up in the data yet.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 4 June 2025

-Leland Miller, co-founder and CEO of China Beige Book -Matt Wood, Global and US Commercial Technology & Innovation Officer, PwC -Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 4 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Tom Porcelli and Tony Capuano Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 3 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & David GuraJune 3nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, on how geopolitics are never 'going back to normal' 2) Chris Harvey, Chief US Equity Strategist at Wells Fargo, on markets. Stock futures are lower after the weekend brought more tariff drama, with China and the US accusing each other of violating a trade deal concluded just a few weeks ago. There’s also bearish comments on the dollar: Morgan Stanley expects the currency to slump 9% by mid-2026. 3) Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income on how the Fed is on the sidelines, for now. But as economic activity slows this year, we expect the Fed will ease in H2. 4) Evan Osnos, author and New Yorker staff writer, on his new book "The Haves and Have-Yachts"See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 3 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Sharon Miller. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 2 June 2025

- Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association - Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates - Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America - Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association, joins to discuss President Trump saying he will double steel tariffs and how that could affect consumers and businesses. Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates, discusses the latest on the US-led trade war and whether talks with China are stalling. Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America, offers his outlook for the US economy and potential for a recession in 2025. Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, discusses her outlook for equities in 2025 and whether there could be more choppiness in the summer months.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 2 June 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 2nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Stephen Stanley, Chief Economist at Santander, joins for an extended conversation on the outlook for the US economy, lower consumer spending, and potential for a shallow recession in the US. Global stocks started the new month under pressure due to a flare-up in global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold is heading for its biggest gain in almost four weeks as geopolitical and trade tensions revived demand for haven assets. 2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, discusses bond market warnings and why the Fed won't be coming to the rescue any time soon. The dollar fell 0.5%, extending a streak of five monthly losses, while Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 10-year rate up four basis points to 4.44% in the early part of the morning as risk appetite dissipates. 3) Maya MacGuineas, President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, talks about the House bill "debt fiasco" and why markets haven't fully awaken to the debt and deficit problem in the US. It comes as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US "is never going to default" as the deadline for increasing the federal debt ceiling approaches. Bessent declines to specify an "X date" for when the Treasury will run out of cash, but says the goal is to bring the deficit down over the next four years. 4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about President Trump threatening an increase to steel and aluminum tariffs, how the tax bill could be transformed in the Senate, and other DC headlines. Uncertainty prompted by President Donald Trump’s trade agenda picked up after China and the US accused each other of violating a trade deal concluded last month. Trump also said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Meanwhile, Ukraine staged a dramatic series of strikes across Russia, deploying drones hidden in trucks deep inside the country to hit strategic airfields. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on Gen Z's interest in chain restaurants and a Business Insider story on AI already taking human jobs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 2 June 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Seema Shah & Greg Boutle. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 May 2025

- Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel - Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research - Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board - Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, reacts to PCE and discusses her outlook for markets and the US economy. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, discusses the potential for more rate cuts than are currently being priced into the market. Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, talks about recent findings on the outlook of CEOs for business in the US and overall sentiment about the economy. Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines, talks about his outlook for the company and industry this year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 May 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 30th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, Aoifinn Devitt, Chief Global Strategist at Moneta, and Ira Jersey, Chief US Interest Rates Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. react to PCE. April’s so-called core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy items, rose 0.1% from March. From a year ago, it advanced 2.5%, Bureau of Economic Analysis data out Friday showed. Both readings were in line with economists’ forecast. 2) Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, joins to talk about any potential upheaval that could come as continued on-again, off-again tariffs. The Trump administration is exploring alternative options to pursue tariffs, including using other legal authorities, but these options may be more complicated and time-consuming, and could take months to execute. As a result, traders are reassessing their appetite for riskier assets amid concerns over weaker growth and fiscal strain. 3) Pat Haskell, Head: Muni Bond Group at BlackRock, on muni performance through 2025 and how munis function as a safe haven amid tariff uncertainty. Investors are also parsing data for clues on how the policies are affecting the economy amid concerns over weaker growth and fiscal strain. 4) Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, brings us into the market open and talks about the outlook for inflation in the US after today's PCE report. Meanwhile in Washington, President Trump pushed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates at their first in-person meeting since the president's inauguration. Powell stressed that the path of policy will depend on incoming economic information. 5) Phillip Diehl, President of US Money Reserve and 35th Director of the US Mint, talks about recent fluctuations in gold prices and gold buying trends among consumers. Gold fell, putting it on track for an almost 2% weekly loss, amid a technical pullback in prices ahead of key US economic data. Despite the declines, bullion's haven appeal remains intact due to uncertainties surrounding Trump's tariff agenda and tensions with China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 30 May 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wendy Schiller & Anastasia Amoroso Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 29 May 2025

- Peter Navarro, White House Director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy - Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management - Angelo Zino, Senior Research Analyst at CFRA Research - Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO Peter Navarro, White House Director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, joins for an extended discussion on trade and tariffs after a US court blocked many of President Trump's tariffs on imports from dozens of countries. Libby Cantrill with PIMCO discusses options for President Trump after his tariffs were blocked by a US court. Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses signals and warnings from the bond market on tariffs, debt, and deficits. Angelo Zino, Senior Research Analyst at CFRA Research, reacts to Nvidia earnings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 29 May 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 29th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, joins to talk about a resilient US economy and momentum in markets in spite of Washington uncertainty. After a US court blocked the bulk of President Donald Trump's import tariffs, it led to widespread gains in risk assets and lifted investor sentiment. 2) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, reacts to Nvidia earnings and discusses the outlook for the company and Big Tech. Nvidia is ramping up production of its latest semiconductor design, Blackwell, and is offering its chips as part of whole computer systems to speed up AI deployment. 3) Andrew Gilbert, Partner at ECP, joins to discuss demand for AI data centers and the immense growth opportunity following another Nvidia earnings. Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang is concerned about US trade restrictions on China hindering the company's long-term growth, and is appealing to the Trump administration to allow chip production for China again. 4) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, discusses the latest DC headlines and how a US court blocking President Trump's tariff policy could affect his presidency and potentially his legacy. A US court has blocked many of President Trump's tariffs on imports from dozens of countries, declaring them illegal and throwing his tariff strategy into turmoil. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on Paramount's relationship with the White House and Bloomberg's story on how AI is impacting hiring at Salesforce.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 29 May 2025

Nvidia, the world’s most valuable chipmaker, gave an upbeat revenue forecast for the current period, even as a slowdown in China weighed on results. Sales will be about $45 billion in the second fiscal quarter, which runs through July, the company said on Wednesday. That included the loss of roughly $8 billion in revenue from China because of export controls. The forecast was in line with analysts’ estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Nvidia shares rose about 4% in extended trading following the announcement. The outlook shows that Nvidia is ramping up production of Blackwell, its latest semiconductor design. The chipmaker — now the world’s largest by revenue — dominates the market for AI accelerators, the components that help develop and run artificial intelligence models. And an ever-broader lineup of hardware and software is letting Nvidia sell more products to customers. For instant reaction and analysis, hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with: Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Tech Industry Analyst Mandeep Sing Joe Kaiser, Managing Director at Mercato Partners See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 May 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Nancy Lazar Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 May 2025

Eswar Prasad, Cornell University Tolani Senior Professor:Trade Policy on the strength of the dollar Rep. French Hill (R-AR), Chairman, House Committee on Financial Services on Washington News of the Day Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst on NVDA earnings Frank Lee, The Hongkong & Shanghai Bkg Corp, on NVDA earnings     See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 May 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 28th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, discusses perceived mixed signals related to the financial strength of the U.S. consumer 2) Jordan Rochester, Head of FICC Strategy at Mizuho EMEA, details why the Fed will be witnessing higher government spending over the next two years. 3) Jennifer Johnston, Director: Muni Bond Research at Franklin Templeton on why the muni market experienced volatility in April in response to uncertainty over tariffs and other Federal policies. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on the stay-at-home son trend that Jeopardy started. Plus, is $20 an hour a good starting point for companies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 28 May 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Steve Chiavarone & Nicholas Burns. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 27 May 2025

- Roosevelt Bowman, Senior Investment Strategist at Bernstein Private Wealth Management - Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock - Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy - Lynn Martin, President of NYSE Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, joins to discuss opportunities in corporate credit as bond market yields remain stubbornly high. Roosevelt Bowman, Senior Investment Strategist at Bernstein Private Wealth Management, talks about opportunities in equities as President Trump pivots on EU tariffs and as the bond market signals more warnings about the US debt and deficit. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, joins to talk about President Trump's economic policies and support heading into the summer. Lynn Martin, NYSE president, on IPO activity in 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 27 May 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 27th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Steve Chiavarone, Senior Portfolio Manager at Federated Hermes, talks about why he remains constructive on the US economy and the potential for a cyclical recovery in the US. The dollar bounced back, and equity-index futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 jumped more than 1%, as President Donald Trump extended a deadline on implementing aggressive Euro-area tariffs. 2) Nicholas Burns, former US ambassador to China, joins for an extended discussion on US-China relations and where they stand in a second Trump administration. The plans for a new version of China's "Made in China 2025" campaign indicate that China will largely stick to its strategy of prioritizing manufacturing, despite criticism from the US and Europe, and will focus on developing core technologies such as semiconductors and new energy materials. 3) Jane Foley, Head of FX Strategy at RaboBank, talks about dollar weakness and the yen carry trade amid noise coming out of the Japanese bond market. Tong-term government bonds yields in Europe and Asia also fell, while the yen and other currencies declined, as investors reacted to the news from Japan. Japan’s 20-year bond yield slid as much as 21 basis points after Bloomberg News reported the nation’s finance ministry asked market participants for their views on the appropriate amount of government debt issuance. 4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the trade deals likely not to materialize for President Trump's administration, and what types of tariff rates the US could expect this summer 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on bringing plus-ones on work trips and a WSJ story on the skyrocketing cost of a Hamptons girls weekend trip.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 27 May 2025

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Barry Eichengreen & Emily Roland. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcribed - Published: 23 May 2025