S8 Ep751: 9. Colonel Jeff McCausland assesses the Strait of Hormuz blockade and China's military resupply of Iran. He notes Vladimir Putin's strategic losses in Ukraine and the impact of Viktor Orbán's electoral defeat.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 16 April 2026
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Summary
9. Colonel Jeff McCausland assesses the Strait of Hormuz blockade and China's military resupply of Iran. He notes Vladimir Putin's strategic losses in Ukraine and the impact of Viktor Orbán's electoral defeat.
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| 0:00.0 | I'm John Bachelor. I welcome my good colleague, Colonel Jeff McCausen, United States Army |
| 0:20.7 | retired and artillery men, CBS News, Dickinson College visiting professor, as well as the CEO of Diamond Sixth leadership and strategy. |
| 0:28.9 | There's a hot war, fog of war. Remember, the first three reports are wrong, after that information warfare. |
| 0:35.8 | But we do what we can on the information that's coming out of Europe, |
| 0:40.0 | out of Washington, certainly, and the presumption of the geography. |
| 0:45.3 | Jeff, a very good evening to you. Thank you for this, and we go immediately to the Strait of our moves. |
| 0:49.9 | The U.S. Navy, and I trust it, says the blockade is in place. |
| 0:56.5 | They have given evidence of turning back tankers and other ships that are looked to be suspiciously working for the Iranian regime. |
| 1:02.2 | At the same time, we have threats again from Tehran that they will blockade the Strait of |
| 1:08.0 | Hormuz. There's always the threat of using kinetic energy. That would be a |
| 1:12.3 | missile or drone attack on U.S. Navy warships. So far, nothing like that has happened. I doubt that |
| 1:18.1 | it will. The U.S. Navy is not anything but extremely competent. So it looks like a stalemate. |
| 1:24.5 | There's talk of negotiation, but as you and I both know, the JCPOA in 2015 |
| 1:29.2 | took two years. What is your assessment right now of the straight-of-four moves? Good evening to you, |
| 1:34.2 | Colonel. Good news, John. My assessment is what right now we do have, a virtual stalemate. We have a |
| 1:40.5 | blockade of a blockade, because in essence, what the Iranians had done is blockade |
| 1:45.2 | the Straits of the Moves by closing it, particularly the shipping that was not Iranian. |
| 1:49.7 | Now, oddly, when the war began, of course, the Trump administration removed or at least lessened |
| 1:55.3 | the sanctions on Iranian export of oil. |
| 1:58.8 | So for a number of weeks now, the Iranians have been the principal |
| 2:01.2 | exporter of oil coming out of that particular part of the world. And as a consequence, |
| 2:05.7 | have made significant profits. Well, that now has come to an end, and we're blockading the |
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