S8 Ep322: The Risks of Seizing Russia's Shadow Fleet at Sea. Guest: ANATOL LIEVEN, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. The U.S. seizure of Russian-owned "shadow fleet" tankers raises the risk of a direct military clash if European nations follow suit. Russ
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
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🗓️ 16 January 2026
⏱️ 13 minutes
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Summary
The Risks of Seizing Russia's Shadow Fleet at Sea. Guest: ANATOL LIEVEN, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. The U.S. seizure of Russian-owned "shadow fleet" tankers raises the risk of a direct military clash if European nations follow suit. Russia views a maritime blockade as an act of war. Hardliners in the Kremlin may seek to escalate to terrify the West into withdrawing support from Ukraine
1905 AMIRAL KORNILOV
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I'm John Baxter, and I'm joined by my colleague Anatole Levin of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, |
| 0:22.3 | writing most recently for the Quincy Institute about a speculation and a fact, |
| 0:29.5 | the seizure of vessels at the sea in the sea by the U.S. Navy for whatever explanation. |
| 0:36.2 | Right now, the explanation has to do with Venezuela and the |
| 0:39.5 | so-called shadow fleet. However, we have news that complicates the matter right now. |
| 0:45.5 | Anatole, a very good evening to you. Within these last hours, the Secretary of Homeland Security, |
| 0:50.5 | Christian O.M., has made an announcement on true social, I believe, the social media |
| 0:56.4 | that the Coast Guard had boarded the motor tanker Veronica. |
| 1:02.7 | Ms. Noem said the ship had previously passed through Venezuela waters and was operating in |
| 1:07.6 | defiance of President Trump's order established quarantine of sanctioned |
| 1:13.0 | vessels in the Caribbean. U.S. Southern Command said the Coast Guard was working in conjunction |
| 1:17.9 | with USS Gerald Ford, which is the supercarrier in the neighborhood. I mentioned all this |
| 1:23.8 | because the AP story goes on to say that the sea ship is owned by a Russian firm |
| 1:31.2 | and it has been known as Galileo, clearly a shadow fleet member. Is this a challenge to the |
| 1:39.1 | Kremlin, as you have written in your most recent article that the Kremlin is paying great attention |
| 1:44.3 | to the seizing of ships. Good evening to you. Hello, John. Well, in itself, it isn't, |
| 1:53.2 | well, it is a challenge, but it's not one, I think, to which the Russians will respond, |
| 1:57.6 | because they've already made clear that they are not going to help Venezuela |
| 2:02.0 | against America and they are not going to protect Venezuelan cargoes, even if they are |
| 2:09.6 | under Russian flag in Russian flag ships. The real danger is if the British and Europeans |
| 2:16.5 | take this as a precedent and justification to start seizing ships with Russian cargoes, whether of the shadow fleet or under Russian flags. |
| 2:31.3 | Because that would actually threaten Russia with what amounts to a maritime |
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