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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep322: Russia's Role as a Stabilizing Factor in Middle East Tensions. Guest: ANATOL LIEVEN, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. Russia has reportedly arbitrated between Jerusalem and Tehran to prevent preemptive strikes and maintain stability in Eurasia

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Books, Society & Culture, News, Arts

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 16 January 2026

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Russia's Role as a Stabilizing Factor in Middle East Tensions. Guest: ANATOL LIEVEN, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. Russia has reportedly arbitrated between Jerusalem and Tehran to prevent preemptive strikes and maintain stability in Eurasia. While Russia lacks the power to defend Iran from a U.S. attack, it seeks to avoid regional instability. Russia's diplomatic approach contrasts with perceived universal aggression from other global actors.
1900 RUSSIA

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Batchel with Anatole leave and Anatole, these are all anecdotes, but they add up to something

0:22.2

going the wrong way. The U.S. has moved in support personnel and a flotilla to support what would be

0:31.2

a devastating air raid on Iran, escalating towards decapitation, perhaps starting at the level of the besiege.

0:40.4

In response to the murder, we believe, of up to thousands, the reporting is incomplete because

0:46.0

the Internet's down, the phones are down, even the SpaceX has been blocked, of its starling.

0:54.1

I mentioned all this because there was a report in the Washington Post, and it sourced accordingly,

1:00.4

that Russia had entered into the conversation between Jerusalem and Tehran, and it arbitrated an agreement from both sides not to preempt, not to attack first,

1:12.0

not to fire off your barrage in hopes to kill the leadership.

1:16.3

Now, that is not about Russia the warmonger.

1:21.6

That's about Russia keeping peace in Eurasia.

1:25.4

What is Russia to Tehran?

1:27.0

What is Russia to Jerusalem? Because I don't think that's part of the script here in America.

1:32.5

No, well, I mean, Russia has been very anxious to try to be friends with everybody in the Middle East, really, except for the radical Islamists.

1:42.9

Russia has good relations with Israel. It, you know, Russia has good relations with Israel.

1:46.1

It obviously has good relations with Iran as well.

1:49.1

It also has good relations with Saudi Arabia and with Syria while the regime there lasted.

1:55.9

And, you know, one should remember that Russia was instrumental in helping Barack Obama to make the

2:03.4

nuclear deal with Iran, which frankly, you know, if that had continued, if Trump hadn't torn it

2:09.0

up, would probably have prevented this entire mess. So yes, I mean, Russia in many ways is a force

2:17.1

for stability. But of course, I mean, at the same mean, Russia in many ways is a force for stability.

2:18.8

But, of course, I mean, at the same time, Russia is extremely anxious to try to avoid a U.S. attack on Iran,

2:27.3

because that would obviously lead to much greater instability in the Middle East.

...

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