28: 4. Post-Pandemic Lessons and Policy Interventions Nicholas Eberstadt Book: Men Without Work (Post-Pandemic Edition) Eberstadt addresses the post-pandemic landscape, noting the problem has worsened and shows warning signs of spreading to prime-age women a
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 26 October 2025
⏱️ 8 minutes
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Summary
Eberstadt addresses the post-pandemic landscape, noting the problem has worsened and shows warning signs of spreading to prime-age women and older cohorts. The China shock (China entering the WTO) previously disrupted US manufacturing. Pandemic-era government transfers were unique in that US disposable income rose, generating over $2.5 trillion in excess savings that facilitated a "delayed return to work." Policy solutions include adopting a "work first" principle for social welfare programs and improving vocational skills training to reduce disincentives. Eberstadt stresses the need to gather statistics on the vast ex-felon population (one in seven adult men has a felony conviction) to enable evidence-based policies for societal reentry. Gaming the disability system often involves claims that are difficult to falsify, such as psychological or musculoskeletal pain.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is CBSI on the world. |
| 0:07.0 | I'm John Batchel with Nicholas Eberstadt. |
| 0:09.0 | His reissue of his Men Without Work, which was published in the middle of the second decade |
| 0:15.0 | of the 21st century. |
| 0:16.0 | We're now in the third decade, and we've survived the pandemic that put everyone out of work momentarily. |
| 0:24.9 | Nick provides a chapter of some things that we can see that maybe change the argument, |
| 0:29.7 | maybe do not. |
| 0:31.1 | Nick, one of the things that I'm struck by right now again and again is these numbers are |
| 0:37.1 | changing not only for men, but also for women. |
| 0:40.5 | Do I read you correctly? |
| 0:41.8 | That women without work is a rising category. |
| 0:45.9 | Yes. |
| 0:46.1 | Well, unfortunately, the men without work problem that I described in the first edition is worse now than it was then. You could |
| 0:57.5 | almost draw a straight line from 1965 to the first edition of the book to where we are now |
| 1:05.4 | six years later. It's kind of uncanny. But it looks as if other population groups may also be joining this flight from work, including |
| 1:14.9 | people who are older Americans, 55 plus, 65 plus, and now we're seeing some, I think, warning |
| 1:23.9 | signs for prime age women. |
| 1:26.7 | I don't want to say it's a red flashing light, but maybe a |
| 1:29.4 | yellow flashing light. Is it a shock or is it a shift of the labor force? Nick asked that |
| 1:35.9 | question. What is the China shock? How would that contribute to the unknowns? Well, the |
| 1:42.4 | China, the first China shock was the China entering the World Trade Organization, which |
| 1:50.1 | provided an avenue for Chinese manufacturing and low-cost goods into our economy, did a lot |
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