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War on the Rocks

Winter and Beyond: An Inflection Point in the War Over Ukraine

War on the Rocks

War on the Rocks

News, Politics

4.61.1K Ratings

🗓️ 9 December 2022

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mike Kofman and Ryan Evans start this episode by taking a step back to the beginning to put this stage of the war in context. Mike offers possible scenarios on the next few months of the war, discusses Ukraine's recent strikes on Russian bases deep in Russian territory, and assesses the state of forces, munitions, and kit on both sides.

Transcript

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0:00.0

You are listening to the War on the Rocks podcast on Strategy Defense and Foreign Affairs.

0:14.7

My name of course is Ryan Evans and I'm sitting here with Mike Kaufman.

0:17.3

Sorry it's been a few weeks since we recorded one of our episodes, but we're here to talk

0:21.1

about the war in Ukraine.

0:22.4

Thanks again for joining the war in Ukraine.

0:22.6

Thanks again for joining the show, Mike.

0:24.2

Yep, happy to do it.

0:25.1

Sorry, I've been traveling, but I'm back now.

0:27.2

You were just in Bologna, right?

0:29.2

I wasn't Bologna, and I was in there.

0:30.9

I was on sunny Stuttgart before that.

0:32.8

Bologna, Bologna.

0:35.8

You common Stuttgart?

0:37.8

And when you were in Bologna, you recorded an episode of the Russia contingency with Sergei Rachanko, right?

0:43.2

I did, I did.

0:44.2

I was good to reconnect with my old friend.

0:46.8

Great, well I know members will love to listen to that episode,

0:49.7

but let's talk about the war.

0:51.2

And since it's been a few weeks, let's take a few steps back. Let's start about the war and since it's been a few weeks let's take a few steps back

0:53.7

let's start at the beginning how would you delineate the different phases of this

0:58.0

war so far all right so I think if we were to periodize, I would say there's the initial invasion and the attempted

1:06.3

regime change and that's basically from February 23rd to about March 25th.

...

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