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Foreign Policy Live

Why India’s Modi Underperformed

Foreign Policy Live

Foreign Policy

News Commentary, News, Politics

4.1622 Ratings

🗓️ 7 June 2024

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

From pundits to polls, there was a wide expectation this year that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi would not only win a rare third consecutive term, but also secure an even bigger parliamentary majority than he had before. As results emerged on Tuesday, it was clear that India’s voters had other ideas. Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party won the most seats—more than the entire opposition alliance combined—but it will need the help of coalition allies to form a government.  How will Modi govern in a third term, and what will it mean for the world? FP’s Ravi Agrawal is joined by experts Milan Vaishnav and Yamini Aiyar to discuss.  Suggested reading: Ravi Agrawal: Why Modi Underperformed Devesh Kapur: Modi’s Power Has Peaked  Sushant Singh:Modi’s Campaign Rhetoric Is Dangerous Ravi Agrawal: The New Idea of India Mukul Kesavan: 4 Books to Understand Modern India Josh Felman and Josh Felman: Is India Really the Next China? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:06.2

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0:11.1

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0:26.6

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0:31.1

Hi, I'm Ravi Agrawal, Foreign Policies Editor-in-Chief.

0:35.6

This is FP Live.

0:40.1

Welcome to the show.

0:42.0

2024 was set up to be a year of elections.

0:45.7

Seven of the ten most populous countries on earth were scheduled to hold national votes.

0:50.9

One of the ones that seemed like a foregone conclusion was India's. Everyone expected

0:55.9

Narendra Modi and his Parthia Jantapati to sweep to power for a rare third consecutive term.

1:02.9

Not only that, the expectation was that they'd win a supermajority, perhaps enough seats even

1:08.8

to push through bigger changes like amending the country's constitution.

1:13.8

Well, on Tuesday, the people had their say.

1:17.5

Modi is likely coming back, but greatly diminished.

1:21.2

His party won the most number of seats, but not enough to form a government on its own.

1:26.7

It will need coalition partners.

1:29.2

It has those partners, but there's a catch.

1:32.6

First, at least one of them is infamous for switching sides,

1:36.2

which means Modi's government could have some inherent instability in it.

...

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