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Foreign Policy Live

What to Expect From Mexico’s Elections

Foreign Policy Live

Foreign Policy

News Commentary, News, Politics

4.1622 Ratings

🗓️ 31 May 2024

⏱️ 48 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The presidential election in Mexico this weekend will likely result in the country’s first female president. It’s an open question, however, whether the front-runner in the polls and expected winner, Claudia Sheinbaum, will carry on the policies of her political mentor, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Former Mexican Ambassador to the United States Arturo Sarukhán joins Ravi Agrawal to analyze López Obrador’s legacy and how Mexico’s next leader may or may not enact different policies. Suggested reading: Christina Lu: Mexico’s Historic Elections, Explained Ana Sofía Rodríguez Everaert: The Woman Inheriting AMLO’s Revolution Isidro Morales: Mexico’s Next Leader Has an Energy Problem Connor Pfeiffer and Ryan C. Berg: Mexico and the United States Need to Talk About China Now Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:31.0

Hi, I'm Ravi Agrawal, Foreign Policy's editor-in-chief.

0:35.2

This is FP Live.

0:40.1

Welcome to the show. There are lots of important elections going on around the world right now,

0:46.0

India, South Africa, and of course the campaign trail in the United States. One country that

0:51.6

doesn't get enough attention, I think, is Mexico, which has its elections on

0:56.3

Sunday. Mexico is chronically underestimated. It's the world's 14th biggest economy, the United

1:03.2

States' biggest trading partner, and an increasingly important player in global business,

1:08.7

especially as U.S. companies focus on nearshoring.

1:12.9

Nearly 100 million Mexicans are eligible to vote on Sunday, and they'll be voting for local

1:19.0

and state posts as well as, of course, the presidency. Polls strongly suggest a victory for

1:24.5

Mexico City's former mayor, Claudia Seenbaum.

1:32.2

Shanebaum's main rival is Suchito Galvez, who is backed by a coalition of opposition parties.

1:39.1

Whichever candidate wins, Mexico will have its first ever female president. But before we look to the future,

1:46.9

it's important to examine the past a bit. And that's true in particular here because this

1:51.5

election is a referendum of sorts on the current president, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, known as

1:57.4

Amlo. Shane Baum, the frontrunner, is his protégé. So what is Amlo known for? Well, he oversaw a major

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