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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Who Is The Likeliest GOP VP Candidate?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 14 August 2023

⏱️ 65 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Abortion rights advocates notched another win in a red state. Last Tuesday, Ohioans voted by a 14-point margin not to raise the threshold to amend the constitution to a 60 percent supermajority. Instead, such amendments will continue to require a simple majority, making it likelier that Ohioans will pass an amendment to codify abortion rights in the state constitution this November. Most of the post-election analysis concluded that abortion is a major driver of turnout in elections now, and it’s hard to deny in otherwise low-turnout environments, but should we apply these lessons to high-turnout environments -- like the 2024 presidential election -- as well? The crew discusses in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also do a 2024 GOP vice presidential draft, in a world where former President Donald Trump wins the presidential primary. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode is brought to you by Nike.

0:04.2

It's packed to school season, and you and your child might be feeling a bit anxious.

0:09.0

As a parent, you're the best team mate for your mini-me, and together, you can use sport

0:13.2

to help overcome anxiety.

0:15.6

Try something new as a family and celebrate even the little wins you achieve on the journey.

0:19.9

Create long-lasting memories that will take your kids from class to court and beyond.

0:25.5

Go to Nike.com, forward slash kids to get school ready.

0:29.2

Oh, I'm here. Can you hear me?

0:31.4

I can definitely hear you, but you're now frozen.

0:34.6

He's not frozen.

0:35.6

Podcast listeners.

0:36.6

That's weird.

0:37.4

One casualty so far today on the podcast, Nathaniel was supposed to be with us.

0:41.7

His internet would not allow that to happen.

0:43.8

So, DC, get your internet situation together so that Nathaniel can join us again in the future.

0:49.1

Hello, and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.

1:01.3

I'm Gaelin Drick.

1:02.6

Abortion rights advocates have notched another win in a red state.

1:06.6

I think we can probably call Ohio a red state at this point, although I got a

1:10.5

Politico alert earlier today saying that the Biden campaign suggested that both

1:14.7

North Carolina and Ohio were in play for them in 2024.

1:18.3

They can say what they want.

...

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