Who Is The Likeliest GOP VP Candidate?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.6 • 20.6K Ratings

🗓️ 14 August 2023

⏱️ 65 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Abortion rights advocates notched another win in a red state. Last Tuesday, Ohioans voted by a 14-point margin not to raise the threshold to amend the constitution to a 60 percent supermajority. Instead, such amendments will continue to require a simple majority, making it likelier that Ohioans will pass an amendment to codify abortion rights in the state constitution this November. Most of the post-election analysis concluded that abortion is a major driver of turnout in elections now, and it’s hard to deny in otherwise low-turnout environments, but should we apply these lessons to high-turnout environments -- like the 2024 presidential election -- as well? The crew discusses in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also do a 2024 GOP vice presidential draft, in a world where former President Donald Trump wins the presidential primary. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	This episode is brought to you by Nike.
0:04.2	It's packed to school season, and you and your child might be feeling a bit anxious.
0:09.0	As a parent, you're the best team mate for your mini-me, and together, you can use sport
0:13.2	to help overcome anxiety.
0:15.6	Try something new as a family and celebrate even the little wins you achieve on the journey.
0:19.9	Create long-lasting memories that will take your kids from class to court and beyond.
0:25.5	Go to Nike.com, forward slash kids to get school ready.
0:29.2	Oh, I'm here. Can you hear me?
0:31.4	I can definitely hear you, but you're now frozen.
0:34.6	He's not frozen.
0:35.6	Podcast listeners.
0:36.6	That's weird.
0:37.4	One casualty so far today on the podcast, Nathaniel was supposed to be with us.
0:41.7	His internet would not allow that to happen.
0:43.8	So, DC, get your internet situation together so that Nathaniel can join us again in the future.
0:49.1	Hello, and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.
1:01.3	I'm Gaelin Drick.
1:02.6	Abortion rights advocates have notched another win in a red state.
1:06.6	I think we can probably call Ohio a red state at this point, although I got a
1:10.5	Politico alert earlier today saying that the Biden campaign suggested that both
1:14.7	North Carolina and Ohio were in play for them in 2024.
1:18.3	They can say what they want.
	...

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