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The David Frum Show

What Comes Next for Iran?

The David Frum Show

The Atlantic

Politics, News, News Commentary

4.62.4K Ratings

🗓️ 18 June 2025

⏱️ ? minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this episode of The David Frum Show, The Atlantic’s David Frum urges an end to wishful thinking about Iran, and a focus instead on the regime’s threatening words and murderous actions. Then David is joined by the Carnegie Endowment scholar Karim Sadjadpour for an urgent conversation about the internal decay of Iran’s theocracy. They discuss the survival instincts of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the regime’s obsession with martyrdom and repression, the true cost of the Islamic Republic’s nuclear ambitions, and the disconnect between the revolutionary slogans of the state and the aspirations of Iranian society. Get more from your favorite Atlantic voices when you subscribe. You’ll enjoy unlimited access to Pulitzer-winning journalism, from clear-eyed analysis and insight on breaking news to fascinating explorations of our world. Atlantic subscribers also get access to exclusive subscriber audio in Apple Podcasts. Subscribe today at theAtlantic.com/listener. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This podcast is brought to you by Eleven Labs, the company behind AI voices that don't sound like AI voices, like this one.

0:09.3

Learn more at visit11labs.io slash Atlantic to get started for free.

0:14.9

Music Hello, and welcome back to the David Frum show.

0:29.7

I'm David Frum, a staff writer at the Atlantic.

0:32.8

I had a slightly different plan for the podcast this week, but the startling news of the Israeli

0:38.5

airstrike on Iran beginning on the night of Friday the 13th, upended plans.

0:43.3

And so I've had to improvise something.

0:45.0

I want to thank our friends here at the Royal Hotel in Picton, Ontario for making

0:48.6

their boardroom space available to me.

0:50.8

I will be speaking today to Karim Saadipur, a scholar at the Carnegie Institute, the Carnegie Endowment

0:57.0

for International Peace, and the author of the closest study we have on the thought of the

1:00.8

supreme leader of Iran. But before I speak to him, I want to offer some preliminary thoughts of my

1:07.0

own about the situation unfolding. These are not thoughts in the military situation. I am no

1:11.0

kind of military expert. In any way, we're recording 36 hours in advance. So the situation may

1:16.8

well be changed. We know a lot about the internal politics of Israel because it's such an open

1:21.7

society. We know a little bit less about the politics of the society on the receiving end

1:26.4

of the Israeli exchange,

1:28.7

the Islamic Republic of Iran. And that's what I'm going to talk about with Kareem. How is all this

1:32.9

affecting the Iranians? What can we expect? What can we hope for? And before we get to that

1:36.7

dialogue, I'm going to offer some preliminary thoughts. Now, I am in no way any kind of Iran expert or

1:42.5

even amateur. Don't speak the language. I've never been to the

1:45.6

country. I once had an opportunity to go. I was invited by an international businessman who was

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