Wednesday - July 15, 2026
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 15 July 2026
⏱️ 8 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
On Wednesday, July 15, Brian Szytel reports modest market gains (Dow +150, S&P 500 +0.4%, Nasdaq +0.6%) amid a positive early Q2 earnings tone, though Middle East tensions temper sentiment and momentum tech (semis and software) has been pressured. He highlights notable strength in financials, citing rising lending, M&A, and capital markets activity, with investment banking up about 30%, capital markets up over 15%, and financial earnings up over 6%, viewing this as a forward-looking sign of economic confidence. The day’s key news was a second straight cooler-than-expected inflation report: PPI fell 0.3% vs flat expected and core rose 0.2% vs 0.4% expected, implying a favorable PCE read. He discusses potential market impacts if Strait of Hormuz disruption persisted (higher oil, inflation, rates; pressure on long-duration assets; benefits to U.S. production), while noting futures imply ~$75 oil in a year, and adds a strong Empire State manufacturing print (15.6 vs 8.4 expected).
00:00 Market Close Recap
00:23 Earnings Season Pulse
01:00 Financials Lead Strength
02:26 Cooler Inflation Data
03:40 Hormuz Risk Scenario
05:15 Futures Reality Check
05:28 Manufacturing Beat Wrap
05:57 Final Sign Off
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:11.8 | Good evening and welcome back to Dividend Cafe. This is Brian Saitel, your host here this midweek edition on Wednesday, July 15th. |
| 0:22.6 | Positive day overall in markets modestly, we had the Dow close up 150 points. |
| 0:28.6 | S&P was up almost 4 tenths of a percent. NASDAQ was up 6 tenths of a percent. |
| 0:33.6 | So positive in stocks. We had some continued positive earnings of the undertone. We're now about |
| 0:39.5 | 5, 6% into reporting season in Q2 on the SMP 500, tilted towards positive bias. And so the underlying |
| 0:47.2 | tone in the markets is to the upside. You still have this ongoing back and forth in the Middle |
| 0:52.4 | East, and that is continuing to put |
| 0:54.4 | some a lid a little bit on some animal spirits in markets, but nonetheless, the backdrop |
| 0:58.8 | remains fairly positive. As we've written about, a lot of the momentum names have come off, |
| 1:04.5 | including the semiconductors. They continue to be under a lot of pressure, software names, |
| 1:08.6 | also the same of the last month or so. But what I wanted to talk a |
| 1:12.4 | little bit about just because we are into earnings season here is the strength we've seen in the |
| 1:16.8 | financials. I always love seeing this because when you've got strong financials, it's really |
| 1:21.4 | hard to have a real weak or deteriorating economy underlying those financials. Lending and bank activity and M&A all being up big numbers. |
| 1:30.6 | Investment banking so far in these big banks that have reported has been up 30%. |
| 1:35.4 | Capital market activity just in general is up over 15%. |
| 1:39.3 | So earnings on those financials are up over 6%. |
| 1:42.4 | And those are all positive things. And if you remember |
| 1:45.3 | during the zero interest rate period, ZERP in 21, you had this huge explosion in M&A transactions |
| 1:52.4 | because they all of a sudden all penciled. They're leveraged buyouts, a lot of them. So you can borrow |
| 1:57.1 | at 1%. All of a sudden, the numbers make sense. You had this huge boom. |
... |
Transcript will be available on the free plan in 24 days. Upgrade to see the full transcript now.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

