We're All Equal in Our Infinite Ignorance
Naval
Naval Ravikant
4.8 • 2.4K Ratings
🗓️ 12 May 2021
⏱️ 1 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | induction also says that prediction is the main reason for the existence of science, but |
| 0:04.3 | it's not. It's explanation. You want an explanation of what's going on, even if you can't |
| 0:09.0 | necessarily predict with any certainty what's going to happen next. In fact, knowing what's |
| 0:13.0 | going to happen next with some degree of certainty can be deflating, and the unknown can be far |
| 0:16.8 | more fun than having absolute certitude about what tomorrow will bring. |
| 0:21.2 | This brings us to a related point that the science has never settled. We should always be free |
| 0:24.9 | to have new creativity, new conjecture. You never know where the best ideas are going to come |
| 0:29.3 | from, and you have to take everything that's made in good faith seriously. This idea that the |
| 0:33.8 | science has settled or the science has closed its nonsense, and it implies that we can all agree |
| 0:38.8 | upon the process with which we come with new theories, rather it's through creativity and conjecture, |
| 0:43.9 | and the door is always open for new people with new ideas to come in and do that. |
| 0:48.4 | As Popper said, we're all equal in our infinite ignorance. Even if someone claims expertise, |
| 0:53.4 | they might even be valid in their claim to expertise. There's an infinite number of things they |
| 0:57.6 | do not know, and those infinite number of things they do not know could affect the things that they |
| 1:01.2 | do know. So the child who is coming through school who is not expert in anything can still come |
| 1:07.7 | up with an idea that can challenge the foundations of the greatest expert, because the expert, |
| 1:12.8 | like the child, is ignorant about a whole bunch of things. They could have error that does not |
| 1:17.6 | preclude someone else who lacks that fine tuned knowledge from being able to point out. There's |
| 1:23.6 | an error and he's a better idea. |
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