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of the tournament goes. Which tournament is less? It's the win millions, $15 million

guaranteed prize pool. You're guaranteed to win $15 million? No. Guaranteed means

to the entire player pool. Yeah, if I were guaranteed $15 million, Galen, I would not

be doing this podcast right now. If you got $15 million tomorrow, you wouldn't do

the podcast anymore. I do podcast about poker. But you wouldn't do this podcast. I do that.

Yes, I do podcast with you. You do a podcast. Okay. See, if I won $15 million tomorrow,

I think I'd still do... I think I would keep this job. I mean, with like some caveats.

You know what I mean? There's no way I would cover the election. There's no way I'd

cover an election ever again. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Galen

Dwork. Now that the 2022 midterms are fully behind us, we're going to open up the mail

bag and answer it some of your questions about this entire election cycle, the year, the

cycle that is to come in 2024. I wouldn't quite call this a model talk. We don't actually

have a live elections model and even our Georgia Senate runoff average has been put away

for the time being. But it is just Nate and me today. So hello, Nate. How's it going?

Hey, Galen. How are you? I'm pretty good. I'm pretty good. Speaking of models, I said

we don't have an elections model currently running. But how's our World Cup model doing?

...