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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Is There A Political Realignment Among Latino Voters?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 15 December 2022

⏱️ 60 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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Slack.com slash DHQ. I have to, sorry to break it to you, but you're the second most exciting

0:33.0

guest at the ABC Studios today. I'm just excited to be like the top 1%. I walked into the

0:39.6

office this morning with Janel Monet. Okay, wait, that's actually like a really big deal.

0:45.1

She's on the view right now. Yeah. Yeah. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.

1:00.0

I'm Galen Drick. If you regularly listen to this podcast, you're familiar with the statistic

1:05.2

that Latino voters shifted the most of any demographic group between the 2016 and 2020

1:12.4

presidential elections. While the electorate shifted left, overall, Latino voters shifted

1:18.0

right by 8 percentage points. So what happened in 2022, the most recent election? Like with

1:24.9

the bigger national picture, there isn't just one story. You've probably heard by now

1:29.7

that Republicans cleaned Democrats' clock in Florida, which included winning the majority

1:34.6

of Latino voters in the state for the first time since 2006. But elsewhere, Democrats

1:40.9

held their own. So today, we're going to dig into that nuanced story. And there's no

1:44.8

one better I could think of to help excavate the data than co-founder of Eki's research.

1:49.6

Carlos Odio, welcome to the podcast. Thank you, Galen. Thanks for having me back. Although

1:53.8

is it really back if it is for the first time in person? I know for folks watching along,

1:58.4

this is very, very exciting. We're in studio together. It's been a couple years that we've

2:02.5

been chatting over the internet. So this is truly exciting. Welcome. Likewise. And I feel

...

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