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🗓️ 19 August 2023
⏱️ 40 minutes
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0:00.0 | This week in virology, the podcast about viruses, the kind that make you sick. |
0:10.5 | From microbe TV, this is TWIV, this week in virology, episode 1036, recorded on August 17th, |
0:20.8 | 2023. I'm Vincent Draghaniello, and you're listening to the podcast, all about viruses. |
0:28.0 | Joining me today from New York, Daniel Griffin. |
0:32.4 | Hello, everyone. Daniel, cases of COVID still going up in the New York area. |
0:38.8 | They actually definitely are. The cases, the percent positivity, the hospitalizations, it's all |
0:46.5 | on the way up. It's not going down. So it's interesting, it's August. And so what do you think |
0:52.8 | are they going to continue to rise through the winter? Are they going to go down and then go back |
0:56.8 | up again in the winter? What's going on here? Yeah, I love predicting the future. |
1:03.3 | So no, I think people always say it's the hardest thing to predict. Maybe that was just |
1:07.1 | Joe Geepera. But we're actually, we should have some sense in our specialty. The weatherman |
1:14.1 | is wrong a lot, but they're not always wrong. And we would expect it to go up, go down a little |
1:20.0 | bit, and then we'll see our major search December January, because this is a respiratory pathogen, |
1:26.5 | and it is influenced by human behavior. So it's been really hot lately. As people may have |
1:32.3 | been aware, a lot of people are indoors. You go somewhere to eat at a restaurant. No one's |
1:36.9 | sitting outside right there, all packed inside, a lot of vacations. So there's a lot of |
1:43.2 | behavioral things that are going on. Don't worry, there's some people that are blaming it on, |
1:47.6 | the newest variant, but I will always attribute human behavior. What about flu? Does flu go up in |
1:56.0 | August? So it really does. And part of it is you need kind of a background level and flu. I mean, |
2:02.4 | flu is fascinating. And usually there are new variants that come out of certain parts of the |
2:07.6 | world. But then once they get in a certain level, then it is again behavior, right? So we see |
2:14.3 | surges sometimes right around Thanksgiving, right around the sort of end of December. Maybe |
... |
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