Thursday, October 31, 2024
The Briefing with Albert Mohler
The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary
4.8 • 8.4K Ratings
🗓️ 31 October 2024
⏱️ 27 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Part I (00:13 - 14:27)
Behind the ‘Science’ of Polling: What are the Polls? What Do They Tell Us? What Do We Want Them to Tell Us? What Do Others Want Us to Think They Tell Us?
- Forget the polls? Prediction fever takes over Trump vs. Harris 2024 election by USA Today (Phillip M. Bailey)
- One week to go: what is the state of the US presidential race? by The Financial Times (Oliver Roeder, Eva Xiao, Radhika Rukmangadhan, and James Politi)
Part II (14:27 - 24:09)
Opposing Worldviews, Fairness, and the LGBTQ Revolution: Will Fairness Be a Strong Enough Moral Judgment When It Comes to Men Participating in Women’s Sports?
- The dispute around a women’s volleyball team touches on a broader question: How to define ‘fair’ by The Associated Press (Deepti Hajela)
Part III (24:09 - 26:34)
Newsflash, People Don’t Trust the Media: Bezos Responds to the Backlash at The Washington Post’s Controversy
- The hard truth: Americans don’t trust the news media by The Washington Post (Jeff Bezos)
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | It's Thursday, October 31st, 2024. |
| 0:07.6 | I'm Albert Moeller and this is the briefing, a daily analysis of news and events from |
| 0:12.3 | a Christian worldview. |
| 0:14.0 | Well, leading polls indicate that today on the briefing we're going to talk about polls and polling. |
| 0:19.6 | And that is because it is unavoidable right now, and if there is any one issue we need to clarify in terms of the political and the media conversation, |
| 0:28.0 | it has to do with polls. |
| 0:30.0 | And whether or not the polls reflect something, the polls predict something, |
| 0:35.1 | what exactly are the polls telling us? |
| 0:37.2 | Well in reality, when you look at the entire science of polling, |
| 0:40.3 | you need to recognize this is something that really came into its own only at about |
| 0:45.2 | the middle point of the 20th century. |
| 0:47.6 | And that's because the ability to assemble wide-ranging samplings of public opinion and the ability to tabulate the figures |
| 0:55.7 | that's something that didn't really exist until the machine age and later the |
| 0:59.9 | digital age and so even as there was a hunger to answer questions like what are people |
| 1:05.4 | thinking the reality is you basically didn't know until for example the votes |
| 1:10.2 | are tabulated in an election now Now, just wait just a minute. |
| 1:13.2 | I'm going to say that right now we still don't know |
| 1:15.6 | until the votes are tabulated in an election. |
| 1:18.2 | But we do know a lot more. |
| 1:20.2 | And even though we talk about the polls failing to predict or the polls rightly predicting elections, |
| 1:25.0 | the reality is we can't stop talking about them. |
| 1:28.0 | Front page of USA Today, yesterday, pollsters warn that polls not predictive, |
... |
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