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Cato Podcast

The Tortured Logic Behind the Fed's Twin Rate Hikes

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 17 December 2015

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Federal Reserve raised its target for the federal funds rate and hiked actual interest paid on excess bank reserves. George Selgin comments.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Thursday, December 17, 2015.

0:06.7

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:07.8

The Federal Reserve has raised its target for banks lending to each other and it's raised the

0:11.7

rate it pays banks for holding excess reserves.

0:15.0

George Selgen, director of the Kito Institute's Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives,

0:19.5

says the former is largely meaningless and the latter actively damaging.

0:23.8

We spoke after the Fed announcement yesterday.

0:26.2

In the good old days before the crisis, when the Fed would announce a different target for the federal funds rate, it was able to actually

0:36.1

achieve that target by buying or selling government securities which should either increase or reduce the available supply of bank reserves.

0:47.6

And so that would mean that the rate at which banks lend to each other overnight would be influenced by how readily available reserves

0:55.8

were.

0:56.8

The problem is that during the crisis, the Fed essentially lost control of the federal funds right and despite its various efforts to maintain that control

1:10.9

the Fed found that the target it was setting or trying to set for the federal funds rate,

1:18.0

the target that it announced, was no longer related to the actual rate of interest at which banks were in fact exchanging reserves,

1:29.2

trading reserves on the overnight market which had fallen below the target.

1:35.0

So the Fed, for example, for some time in 2008 had set the target federal funds rate at 2%, but no trading was taking place at 2%,

1:48.3

whatever trading was taking place below that. The situation has essentially remained that way right up to this

1:56.7

time. So there is a there was before today's decision a federal funds rate target but nothing was happening at

2:04.7

that rate in the overnight market so we could say that the target was above whatever the true

2:10.6

equilibrium interest rate was at which trading on the federal funds market

2:15.6

would take place.

2:18.2

And now they've doubled that.

...

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