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Cato Podcast

Have We Hit 'Peak Carbon'?

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 16 December 2015

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Is the 2015 dip in global carbon emissions the beginning of a sustained decline? Chip Knappenberger says it's not likely.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Wednesday, December 16, 2015.

0:06.2

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:07.5

With natural gas prices at historic lows and solar power coming online more rapidly than ever is the recent small decline in carbon

0:15.3

emission signal peak carbon, a sustained decline in carbon output.

0:20.4

Chip Knappenberger, Assistant Director of the Center for the Study of Science at the Cato Institute, offers his thoughts.

0:26.0

At Bloomberg, Noah Smith says that we've hit peak carbon, essentially because carbon emissions have declined.

0:37.0

What has driven the decline in carbon emissions

0:42.0

and is it possible that we have actually are going to experience a steady,

0:47.5

sustained decrease in carbon emissions from now on?

0:50.9

Highly unlikely.

0:52.4

That story is coming on the were slightly below carbon emissions in 2014.

1:03.6

It's anything, if you look at the long-term trend

1:06.5

or even the trend over the past decade,

1:08.1

it's continually and steadily upward.

1:11.0

Although there's some variations about that trend and so in 2015 the emissions at least

1:16.6

preliminarily are going to come in slightly below 2014.

1:20.2

I seriously doubt that's going to continue into the future.

1:23.8

If you dig down into what has caused that slight decline in emissions over the past year,

1:30.6

you have to point the finger at China where there's been a little bit of a slowdown in the Chinese economy and that slowdown in the Chinese economy since it's fueled mostly by coal has led to a slight drop in CO2 emissions from China

1:46.7

based on the back of a little bit lower coal use than the year before and that's

1:50.5

probably the reason.

1:53.0

If you look back through time at the CO2 emissions or the CO2 emissions curve,

...

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