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Predictable with Stu Burguiere

The Markets Just Called BS on AOC's Surging Poll Numbers

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.95.6K Ratings

🗓️ 13 May 2026

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

AOC just got one of the biggest 2028 polling headlines yet… but prediction markets barely reacted at all. On today’s Predictable, Stu breaks down why the media may be dramatically overreacting to the latest AOC surge poll — and why traders with actual money on the line don’t seem convinced. Stu digs into the sampling behind the poll, the growing “President AOC?” narrative, and what the Kalshi and Polymarket odds are really signaling about the Democratic field. If the poll was truly a game changer… why didn’t the market move? Plus: AOC’s viral comments about billionaires and “earning” wealth Her eyebrow-raising answer about a possible White House run The latest 2028 Democratic nominee odds Polymarket officially goes fully live in the U.S. And the bizarre anti-Spencer Pratt ad that may actually HELP him The headlines say one thing. The markets may be telling a very different story. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to predictable with Stu trying to make your world a little bit more predictable. That's all we're trying to do. That's it. That's our goal here on the show

0:22.0

and maybe make you a little bit of the extra scratch here and there. We have a great show for you today,

0:27.8

and I want to get into it here in a second. I also want to remind you if you are here, if you're

0:32.1

Stu Does America fan, a great show for you to check out as well on YouTube or podcast, wherever you happen to be,

0:38.8

is Stu and Dave Do America. It's a great show, really funny. I had a really funny week this week. I think you'll like it quite a bit. So check it out there or on Blaze TV. We love Blaze TV. BlaisTV.com slash Stu and Dave. The code is Stu and Dave. If you want to save some cash, I'd encourage you to do so.

0:53.6

Plus, you got to save that cash.

0:54.8

You got to bring it over to here

0:55.6

and put it in a prediction market.

0:57.8

See, circular economy. That's how it works over here in the stew world. So I want to get into a couple of different things. There's a big headline poll today when it comes to the meat and potatoes of what we do here, because we'll talk about

1:12.0

prediction markets, we'll talk about their role in our society, we'll talk about all the

1:16.0

stuff going on around them, but we'll also spend a good amount of time on just elections

1:20.7

and specific markets inside of elections, as well as sports and culture and other things

1:25.4

as well. The kind of and other things as well.

1:32.2

The kind of headline issue today is the presidential election coming up in 2008.

1:32.9

I want to give you a clip of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

1:37.8

There are a lot of people who would like you to run for president in 2028.

1:45.0

Woo!

1:46.0

Yeah!

1:50.0

I like one because I have green damage.

1:53.0

Apparently some of them are here.

1:55.0

And there are people who, there are others who would like you to run for the united states senate what say you about all of

2:02.5

this you know it's funny because um in this op ed that uh jeth bezos paid for in the washington post

...

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