The 10x Trade Hiding in Louisiana

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.9 • 5.6K Ratings

🗓️ 15 May 2026

⏱️ 46 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Trump has spent four years hunting one Republican senator: Bill Cassidy. Now Cassidy is trading at just 2 cents to survive his own Louisiana primary. But the real opportunity may not be taking a position against Cassidy. It may be on whether Trump-backed Julia Letlow wins outright Saturday night and avoids a runoff entirely. Stu breaks down the Cassidy revenge saga, the market mispricing hiding inside Louisiana’s weird election system, a cross-platform arb opportunity between Polymarket and Kalshi, listener questions on strategy and risk, and one long-shot weekend fight market Stu kinda likes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Changes in sexual performance are more common than most people realise, and support doesn't need to feel awkward.
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0:18.7	You're not alone in this. Visit medexpress.co.
0:21.6	.uk slash podcast to learn more. Welcome to Predictable with Stu.
0:43.6	We appreciate you being here, trying to make the world a little bit more predictable for you.
0:48.6	If you're here and you're a fan of Stu Does America, we have a new show, by the way, kind of on that front.
0:54.0	Stu and Dave do America. You can go to blazeTV.com. Use the code Stu and Dave to save some cash there. Or go to the YouTube page for Stu and Dave do America or podcast. Wherever you listen or watch, we are there. And, of course, we are also on predictable show.com. It's a substack. It's got lots of videos
1:12.6	behind the scene stuff, some live streams as we talk about elections, and of course
1:17.9	articles about elections and everything else, kind of a deeper dive into everything that we're
1:22.1	talking about here. Today, I want to focus on an election coming up. Normally, they're on Tuesdays.
1:27.3	I don't know if you'd notice that.
1:28.6	Everyone puts their elections on Tuesdays.
1:30.2	And you know what Louisiana says?
1:31.4	Screw you.
1:32.6	We like Tuesdays for other things.
1:34.7	Okay?
1:35.0	We like Tuesdays for tacos.
1:37.5	We don't like electing people on Tuesdays.
1:39.9	So they put there a primary election on a Saturday.
1:42.8	Of course, I guess, you know, a lot more people off from work.
	...

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