The DC Today - Wednesday, June 28, 2023
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 28 June 2023
⏱️ 9 minutes
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Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3XrRlJ6
At the ECB Forum in Sintra Portugal – Powell, Lagarde, and Baily all had hawkish comments on inflation and tighter central bank policy needed to contain it. However, all three felt that could be done without inevitably causing a recession.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:13.2 | Hello and welcome to DC today, Wednesday, June 28th. Brian Saitel here with you, kind of a quiet day in market action. The Dow closed |
| 0:24.4 | down about 74 points on the day. It was basically down the entire day by about that much. |
| 0:30.5 | I think at one point it might have been down 150 or so, but not more. And just sort of traded sideways. |
| 0:36.3 | Interest rates on the day were slightly lower after yesterday's backup. |
| 0:40.8 | So we had 10-year close at about 371, which was down five basis points on the day. |
| 0:46.4 | So kind of a quiet summer day in trading. |
| 0:47.8 | The biggest news really was around a central bank summit in Portugal and in central Portugal, where there was sort of |
| 0:56.5 | most of the major central bankers around the world on stage discussing policy, discussing, |
| 1:03.8 | you know, their policy and where interest rates might go and inflation and all these sorts |
| 1:07.4 | of things. How the US central banker obviously kind of reiterated the same, |
| 1:12.6 | basically that, you know, more rate hikes were on the table. And not only that, but that, you know, |
| 1:18.5 | consecutive rate hikes could be on the table as well. So read into that, which you might. |
| 1:23.3 | The Fed futures right now is pricing in like a 75% chance for a rate increase in July, |
| 1:30.0 | which was up a little bit on the day following his comments. |
| 1:33.2 | But it's data dependent. |
| 1:34.4 | He was asked at one point if he thought the inflation rate would get back to 2%, which is the |
| 1:40.8 | target, you know, when he thought that would happen? |
| 1:43.2 | Would it be the end of next year, |
| 1:45.1 | end of this year, that type of thing? And he said, basically, not until 2025. So, yeah, |
| 1:51.2 | the comments were more hawkish than, I think, what had been predicted. LaGarde in the ECB, so |
| 1:59.2 | Central Bank of Europe, also said, you know, that there was kind of more |
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