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The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Wednesday, June 28, 2023

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Estate Planning, Wealth Management, Monetary Policy, Macro Economics, Dividend Growth Investing, Retirement Planning, Investing

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 28 June 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3XrRlJ6

At the ECB Forum in Sintra Portugal – Powell, Lagarde, and Baily all had hawkish comments on inflation and tighter central bank policy needed to contain it. However, all three felt that could be done without inevitably causing a recession.

Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets.

0:13.2

Hello and welcome to DC today, Wednesday, June 28th. Brian Saitel here with you, kind of a quiet day in market action. The Dow closed

0:24.4

down about 74 points on the day. It was basically down the entire day by about that much.

0:30.5

I think at one point it might have been down 150 or so, but not more. And just sort of traded sideways.

0:36.3

Interest rates on the day were slightly lower after yesterday's backup.

0:40.8

So we had 10-year close at about 371, which was down five basis points on the day.

0:46.4

So kind of a quiet summer day in trading.

0:47.8

The biggest news really was around a central bank summit in Portugal and in central Portugal, where there was sort of

0:56.5

most of the major central bankers around the world on stage discussing policy, discussing,

1:03.8

you know, their policy and where interest rates might go and inflation and all these sorts

1:07.4

of things. How the US central banker obviously kind of reiterated the same,

1:12.6

basically that, you know, more rate hikes were on the table. And not only that, but that, you know,

1:18.5

consecutive rate hikes could be on the table as well. So read into that, which you might.

1:23.3

The Fed futures right now is pricing in like a 75% chance for a rate increase in July,

1:30.0

which was up a little bit on the day following his comments.

1:33.2

But it's data dependent.

1:34.4

He was asked at one point if he thought the inflation rate would get back to 2%, which is the

1:40.8

target, you know, when he thought that would happen?

1:43.2

Would it be the end of next year,

1:45.1

end of this year, that type of thing? And he said, basically, not until 2025. So, yeah,

1:51.2

the comments were more hawkish than, I think, what had been predicted. LaGarde in the ECB, so

1:59.2

Central Bank of Europe, also said, you know, that there was kind of more

...

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