The COVID-19 State Budget Shortfall That Wasn’t
Cato Podcast
Cato Institute
4.5 • 979 Ratings
🗓️ 22 February 2021
⏱️ 11 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Cater Daily podcast for Monday, February 22nd, 2021. |
| 0:07.4 | I'm Caleb Brown. |
| 0:08.5 | Just shy of a year ago, one of the predicted effects of the massive declines in employment |
| 0:13.4 | that followed the arrival of COVID-19, a dramatic decline in state revenues. |
| 0:18.8 | But in many states, that simply hasn't happened. Logan Colis of the |
| 0:22.8 | Buckeye Institute and Chris Edwards of Cato comment on why the massive spending shortfall simply |
| 0:29.1 | never materialized. Chris, I want to start with you. We were told in March and April, massive collapse |
| 0:37.0 | in state level revenues. |
| 0:39.7 | What happened? |
| 0:41.5 | Well, the state budget situation turned out a lot better than a lot of the mainstream media was projecting. |
| 0:49.9 | There was a lot of scare newspaper headlines early in the crisis that, you know, it was an apocalypse with state and local government revenues. |
| 0:57.4 | I was very skeptical the whole time when I blogged about this early on because I went back and looked at the Great Recession a decade ago. |
| 1:03.9 | And the loss of revenues a decade ago was not very much. |
| 1:07.8 | In fact, local governments, cities and counties a decade ago, didn't lose any money |
| 1:13.2 | overall because they mainly relied on property tax revenues. And the same thing has happened |
| 1:19.6 | this time, that property tax revenues are actually rising. So cities are doing very well. Property |
| 1:26.2 | tax revenues are three quarters of local government |
| 1:28.4 | revenues that they've continued to do well. So just to give you the overall numbers, for the |
| 1:32.6 | country as a whole, for calendar year 2020, overall state and local tax revenues were up 1%. |
| 1:40.1 | That's because income tax revenues were up 2.9%. Sales tax revenues dips 2.2%. |
| 1:47.0 | Property tax revenues are up 3.9%. |
| 1:49.9 | So despite the sharp contraction in the second quarter, |
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