The COVID-19 State Budget Shortfall That Wasn’t
Cato Podcast
Cato Institute
4.5 • 979 Ratings
🗓️ 22 February 2021
⏱️ 11 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Kator Daily Podcast for Monday, February 22nd, 2021. I'm Caleb Brown. Just shy of a year ago, one of the predicted effects of the massive declines in employment that followed the |
| 0:14.1 | arrival of COVID-19, a dramatic decline in state revenues, but in many states that |
| 0:20.1 | simply hasn't happened. Logan Colas of the Buckeye Institute and Chris Edwards of Cato comment on why the |
| 0:26.4 | massive spending shortfall simply never materialized. |
| 0:31.0 | Chris, I want to start with you. We were told in March and April, massive collapse in state-level revenues. What happened? |
| 0:41.0 | Well, the state budget situation turned out a lot better than a lot of the |
| 0:48.0 | mainstream media was projecting. There was a lot of scare newspaper headlines early |
| 0:52.4 | in the crisis that it was an |
| 0:54.5 | apocalypse with state and local government revenues. I was very skeptical the |
| 0:58.6 | whole time when I blogged about this early on because I went and back and looked at the |
| 1:02.2 | Great Recession a decade ago and the loss of |
| 1:04.8 | revenues a decade ago is not very much in fact local governments cities and counties |
| 1:10.7 | a decade ago didn't lose any money overall because they mainly relied on |
| 1:16.7 | property tax revenues and the same thing has happened this this time is that property tax |
| 1:21.3 | revenues are actually rising so cities are doing very well. |
| 1:25.7 | Property tax revenues are three quarters of local government revenues, they've continued to do well. |
| 1:30.5 | So just to give you the overall numbers for the country as a whole for |
| 1:34.3 | calendar year 2020 overall state and local tax revenues were up 1%. |
| 1:40.3 | That's because income tax revenues are up 2.9%. |
| 1:44.0 | Sales tax revenues dipped 2.2%. |
| 1:47.0 | Property tax revenues are up 3.9%. |
| 1:50.0 | So despite the sharp contraction in the second quarter, |
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