We Made a GREAT Investment on Cassidy; But What About Massie?

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.9 • 5.6K Ratings

🗓️ 18 May 2026

⏱️ 47 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The Trump-led opposition to Bill Cassidy’s reelection yielded big results for those making smart moves in the Louisiana primary prediction markets, but what about Tuesday’s upcoming primary between Thomas Massie and Ed Gallrein in Kentucky? Stu Burguiere previews the race and how to plan for smart investments. Plus, some new developments emerge in the case of potential insider trading regarding the Iran War. And, a look at the rapidly-changing markets for “The Mandalorian & Grogu” as it’s potential Rotten Tomatoes score jumps around the board and a breakdown of the Ronda Rousey - Gina Carano fight on Netflix that made and lost a lot of people a lot of money VERY quickly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:40.9	Welcome to Predictable with Stu.
0:43.2	I appreciate you tuning in today.
0:44.1	A lot to talk about.
0:46.8	I want to tell you to go to PredictableShow.com.
0:49.1	Join us in a great community over at Substack.
0:51.1	We're talking about these issues each and every day.
0:54.9	I'm trying to respond to a bunch of your comments and doing everything there. So predictable show.com is the place to go. It's an interesting time ahead of us right
1:00.8	now. We have a bunch of primaries that are going on on a week-to-week basis. And that gives us both
1:10.4	opportunity to talk about something new and interesting and impactful
1:14.2	to the country and to your life, but also opportunity after opportunity after opportunity
1:19.3	to hopefully add a little bit to your bank account through prediction markets. That's the show
1:25.1	that we do here. We talk about prediction markets and what to look forward to in the future. Let me set this up first with a bit of a look back to
1:36.3	Saturday. Bill Cassidy, who is the senator, is currently the senator from Louisiana,
1:42.6	is no longer going to be the senator from Louisiana
1:45.2	come next year. Why? Because he was defeated in the primary. We talked to you about this last
1:50.2	week. Bill Cassidy's fall is a warning sign for other Trump enemies, is the headline from
1:55.8	Politico. And this is something that is, I think, one of the hardest things to get your arms around when you start dealing with prediction markets on a day-to-day basis.
2:09.8	Because it's difficult to see how a loss could be a good thing.
2:16.8	How can, how can, is there such a thing as a good loss?
2:19.8	What do they call it in sports? A moral victory. Not really a moral victory. There's not really
2:24.4	one of those. But there is, I think, a good loss, a loss that brings you new information,
	...

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