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Bloomberg Surveillance

Surveillance: Financial Conditions Do Matter, Crescenzi Says

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

News, Business, Business News, Investing

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 2 January 2019

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, believes there is a strong case for the Fed to pause. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, expects a deeper deterioration of the Chinese economy before the stimulus comes through. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Economist, highlights the importance of the January Fed meeting. Oscar Decotelli, DXA Investments CEO, says the Brazilian elite seem to be positive about the country's new President Jair Bolsonaro. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

The media alone can't ease the tensions that come from the debate surrounding the issues we deal with every day.

0:05.7

However, we can create spaces where people can freely kick the tires of their preconceived notions.

0:11.2

I'm Tim O'Brien, and I'm the senior executive editor at

0:13.8

Bloomberg Opinion. On our platform we ask tough questions and solve complex

0:18.1

problems with the facts in mind. Because context changes how you see things and

0:22.4

how you change things.

0:23.6

Context changes everything.

0:25.6

Start exploring our opinion coverage and more at Bloomberg.com slash subscribe. Welcome to the Bloomberg surveillance podcast. I'm Tom Keene.

0:43.6

Daily, we bring you insight from the best in economics, finance, investment, and international

0:48.9

relations.

0:49.9

Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, Bloomberg.com, and of course, on the Bloomberg. And

1:04.3

Dan Edwards and I know we are as good as our team and our team sometimes well they do things because they're

1:09.4

brilliant and also the surveillance team sometimes you get lucky. We did that before

1:14.4

December 31st when we said Tony Kresenzi you need to start our year and then we

1:19.3

enjoyed December 31st where things fell out of bed. Kresi is the Pimco, he's definitive on short-term paper,

1:25.4

and bring up the chart over here, McKinnon, if you would.

1:28.6

I've never shown this chart before.

1:30.5

I'm only doing this because Cosengi showed up at an early hour. One year, two year

1:34.8

difference in yield and you've got the out of these before the crisis and then the

1:39.2

normality of a difference in yield between a two year and and a one-year and we fell off a cliff.

1:44.4

Tony Kacensi, let's start with the why of the short-term paper market.

1:48.4

Why is the one-year two-year yield inverted where one-year yields are higher than two-year yields.

...

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