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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep591: File: P-ROGGIO-REGIME--3-16.mp3 Guest: Bill Roggio PREVIEW FOR LATER: Guest Bill Roggio analyzes why the expected quick victory over Iran failed. He argues that the administration underestimated Iranian resolve and that, despite air power, achieving stabi

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Books, News, Society & Culture, Arts

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 16 March 2026

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

File: P-ROGGIO-REGIME--3-16.mp3Guest: Bill Roggio PREVIEW FOR LATER: Guest Bill Roggio analyzes why the expected quick victory over Iranfailed. He argues that the administration underestimated Iranian resolve and that, despite air power, achieving stability now requires full regime change., (2)
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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batchel.

0:02.2

Speaking with colleague Rick Fisher on the technology that were visible in Iran and in the U.S.

0:09.0

and in the allies of Iran.

0:11.9

The visible technology is extremely dangerous.

0:16.3

Iran may have some of it with cruise missiles.

0:20.1

Do they have better than cruise missiles, something called hypersonic cruise missiles?

0:23.9

Unknown to me.

0:25.8

Rick comments, however, in general, that the longer the war lasts, the more that there's not a resolution,

0:33.7

the more likely it is that China, which already is supplying the parts for the guidance system of the drones, perhaps the missiles too, but certainly the drones, China can weigh in with transfer of technology that is much more difficult to defeat with the vulnerability of the U.S. allies, U.S. bases, Navy in the, in the surrounding

0:59.8

area, the Gulf and the Mediterranean. Here's Rick to explain. The formula is not positive at this

1:07.3

moment. Won't be positive tomorrow either. It requires either regime change or a reconsideration of the offensive.

1:16.6

Is right?

1:18.6

But the longer the regime stays in power, the greater the chance that it can reconstitute its power across Iran,

1:31.9

then the greater the chance that the Chinese will be tempted to begin transfer of these very

1:39.1

advanced weapons. Advanced 4-plus generation fighter aircraft.

1:46.2

J-10Cs have long been rumored to be in the negotiating pipeline.

1:52.6

And then, yes, supersonic anti-ship missiles, CM302s, or their NPLA, longer range versions, and the hypersonic missiles as well.

2:05.7

This is a big danger.

2:07.0

This is why there is great pressure on President Trump to win this war, whatever victory turns out to be,

2:16.1

and why he's very angry that he's not getting assistance from our allies to keep the Gulf of Hormos open as a way of putting further pressure on this regime to collapse.

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