S8 Ep507: SHOW WSCHEDULE 2-23-26
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 24 February 2026
⏱️ 7 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Cartel leader El Mencho of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel is killed in a military raid, triggering retaliatory violence across Mexico as Bill Roggio analyzes the limits of counterterrorism and demand. 1.
John Batchelor and Bill Roggio examine the US fleet near Iran, questioning the effectiveness of air power alone against ideologically committed regimes like the Houthis. 2.
Following El Mencho's death, Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa discuss the impact on Brazil and Venezuela, highlighting the Trump administration's aggressive strategy to dismantle organized crime throughout Latin America. 3.
Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa explore Cuba's severe oil crisis and potential democratic transitions as Venezuelan support collapses and Lula da Silva seeks cooperation with the United States government. 4.
Malcolm Hoenlein and Thaddius McCotter report on massive casualties following Iranian protests and the buildup of US forces, discussing potential regime change and regional mobilization of proxy groups. 5.
Malcolm Hoenlein and Thaddius McCotter assess the US withdrawal from Syria, leaving minority groups vulnerable while ISIS resurges, while also covering Azerbaijan's regional influence and the stalemate over Hamas disarmament. 6.
Bill Roggio and John Hardie reflect on four years of war in Ukraine, examining initial intelligence failures regarding Russian capabilities and the subsequent shift toward defensive, drone-centric modern warfare. 7.
Bill Roggio and John Hardie analyze the conflict as it enters its fifth year, with negotiations stalled and Putinmaintaining maximalist demands, while assessing Russian casualty rates and the grinding war of exhaustion. 8.
Jonathan Sayeh describes growing internal Iranian dissent, where students favor a pre-1979 Persian identity and the Crown Prince over the current "occupying" Islamic Republic of Iran. 9.
General Blaine Holt analyzes China's J-35, noting it uses stolen F-35 designs but suffers from engine unreliability and systemic corruption within Chinese military procurement systems. 10.
Morris Tan details the jailing of South Korea's ex-president, alleging election fraud by the current administration and a shift toward alignment with North Korea's regime. 11.
David Daoud explains Israeli "policing" on the Lebanon border using quadcopters and stun grenades to deter Hezbollahand allow displaced northern residents to safely return. 12.
Ahmad Sharawi and Bill Roggio discuss the closure of Al-Hol camp in Syria, warning that releasing ISIS-affiliated families risks resurgence due to deep radicalization and lack of oversight. 13.
Ahmad Sharawi and Bill Roggio debate the chaotic Syrian civil war, noting the complex web of actors including the SDF and Turkey, while criticizing the US withdrawal and strategy. 14.
Edmund Fitton-Brown and Bill Roggio examine Iran's potential responses to US military pressure, contrasting diplomatic signals with threats of offensive missile deployment and regional proxy warfare. 15.
Edmund Fitton-Brown and Bill Roggio evaluate the limitations of air power against the Houthis and debate whether USstrikes could effectively decapitate or reform Iran's deeply unpopular and corrupt regime. 16.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good evening. The show concentrates tonight on the war fighting potential, actual, historical. |
| 0:09.5 | The potential is Iran and the face-off between the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Air Force, all the services, |
| 0:18.1 | plus the CIA, plus everybody else working to unseat or discomfort or dislodge |
| 0:24.7 | or end the regime of the Mullahs in Tehran. |
| 0:28.7 | At the same time, the news from Tehran is horror. |
| 0:33.5 | Thousands dead. |
| 0:35.1 | Colleague Malcolm Honline noted the number 60,000 as possible. |
| 0:40.8 | Executing people that were taken to hospital and wounded, chasing down doctors who treated the wounded. |
| 0:48.6 | Who's doing this? The killing the Afghan Shia, the Iraqi Shia, the Hezbollah brigades, the IRGC, all manner of unloosed gunmen. |
| 1:03.4 | The Iranian people at this point are reduced to buying back the bodies of their dead. |
| 1:09.7 | The number is various, but it's a great deal of money, |
| 1:13.3 | given the inflation and the grotesque currency that they now hold |
| 1:17.8 | because of the severe sanctions. |
| 1:21.6 | There's talk of a possible replacement for the mullahs. |
| 1:26.2 | Just talk. |
| 1:30.3 | And then there's the war fighting that's underway right now in and around Israel. Hamas is not surrendered. Syria is a tangle, noted that the |
| 1:40.3 | ISIS jails have now opened as the Syrian Kurdish forces, Syrian defense forces withdraw. |
| 1:47.3 | And ISIS is sworn to kill Al-Qaeda, along with everybody else, there are homicidal. |
| 1:54.5 | Al-Shara is al-Qaeda. |
| 1:56.7 | So he is obliged Turkey to put pressure on the Kurds to release these ISIS jails that they |
| 2:06.4 | no longer guard. |
| 2:09.3 | Bill Roshio and I talked to Ahmed Shari about this. |
... |
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