S8 Ep129: PREVIEW — Rick Fischer — Chinese Strategy to Break Out of the South China Sea and Defense Preparations in the Okinawa Chain. Fischer details potential Chinese operational plans for a breakout past Japan, which could involve deploying concealed tactical nu

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John Batchelor

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🗓️ 26 November 2025

⏱️ 2 minutes

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Summary

PREVIEW — Rick Fischer — Chinese Strategy to Break Out of the South China Sea and Defense Preparations in the Okinawa Chain. Fischer details potential Chinese operational plans for a breakout past Japan, which could involve deploying concealed tactical nuclear weapons to rapidly impose a blockade of regional shipping lanes. Japan and the U.S. are rapidly fortifying Yonaguni Island, located approximately 70 miles from Taiwan, into a forward air base. Both nations are conducting exercises establishing expeditionary refueling bases for F-35B fighters and plan to deploy THAAD missile systems to counter Chinese H-6 bombers.
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Transcript

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0:00.0	This is John Batchel, a conversation with colleague Rick Fisher of the International Assessment and Strategy Center
0:06.6	about information of the Chinese plan to break out of the South China Sea and the breakout past Japan.
0:18.3	This is the day before the end of markets. Rick Fisher, on the plans now and the plan's
0:26.7	potential. Well, John, the Chinese plans could include the immediate use of tactical nuclear
0:35.5	weapons, a capability that I believe they have successfully concealed from most of us.
0:44.5	And they could take out these islands and impose a blockade very quickly.
0:51.0	Right now, Japan and the United States are working furiously to turn Yonaguni
0:55.9	Island into an airbase. If we put F-35 Bravo's...
1:00.6	That's the Okinawa chain, correct?
1:02.9	The southern end of the Okinawa chain, Yonaguni, 70 miles away from Taiwan. in the middle of October,
1:12.2	Japanese troops and U.S. Marines were practicing setting up forward refueling bases.
1:19.6	For refueling what?
1:21.1	Well, how about F-35 Bravo, short takeoff fifth-generation fighters
1:26.6	that have sensors that could detect a Chinese
1:32.6	H6 cruise missile carrying bombers before they launched their cruise missiles.
1:39.4	And if we put THAAD-Surfaced air missiles on Yonoguni. We could shoot down those bombers and possibly threaten half the missiles that China is aiming at Taiwan.

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