S6 Ep16: Good Skews – Congressional Retirements with Tom Schaller
Weekly Skews
Weekly Skews
4.9 • 652 Ratings
🗓️ 27 March 2026
⏱️ 50 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Congressional retirements are hitting a modern record heading into the 2026 midterms, and author, political scientist, and professor Dr. Tom Schaller joins Matt to break down what it all means. More Republicans are fleeing the House than at any point in the last century — tied with Trump's own first midterm in 2018 — and historically, that's a very bad sign for the party in power. Tom and Matt dig into what the retirement wave means for Speaker Johnson's razor-thin majority, which races to watch, and why the fundamentals of 2026 look increasingly like a Democratic wave election. Plus, they get into the cracks forming inside the MAGA coalition, Trump's cratering approval numbers, and whether the dam with Trump voters is finally starting to break.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I'm Matt Hildreth, and you're listening to Good Skews here on Weekly Skews. |
| 0:11.6 | Today, I'm talking with author, political scientist, and professor Tom Schaller. |
| 0:16.4 | We're breaking down the record-setting wave of congressional retirements heading into the |
| 0:20.9 | 2026 election. |
| 0:22.6 | More members are bailing on Congress than we've seen in decades. |
| 0:26.2 | And we discuss why this is very good news for Democrats. |
| 0:35.2 | All right, Tom, thanks for joining me. |
| 0:38.1 | I feel like, does anybody ever call you Dr. Schaller? |
| 0:41.7 | I feel like I should call you Dr. Schaller because you have a Ph.D., and I know how hard it is to earn a PhD. |
| 0:46.7 | A, you should not, and B, not really. |
| 0:50.1 | Like, people who don't know me or random emailers will call me Dr. Schaller, but my students just call me Schaller. |
| 0:55.3 | And I call them by their last names. |
| 0:57.1 | I find that to be respectful but familiar. |
| 1:01.1 | So if you were in my student, one of my classes, Matt, you would be Mr. Hildreth at the start. |
| 1:06.6 | But by week two, you'd just be Hildreth. |
| 1:08.5 | Well, you just put out a piece on public notice. That's what I wanted to talk to you a little bit about. So we're going to talk a little bit about Republicans heading for the doors, which I thought was a very good headline. It gave me a little bit of joy to read through that article. But before we get into that, people might remember you from being on the main show with your book, White Rural Rage. |
| 1:28.2 | But maybe just remind folks where you're coming to this work. |
| 1:32.5 | You know, where'd you grow up? |
| 1:33.6 | What got you into politics? |
| 1:35.6 | And what you're up to now kind of on a daily basis. |
| 1:39.2 | Well, my day job is college professors. |
| 1:41.7 | We discussed at University of Maryland, Baltimore County over near |
... |
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