Q2 Forecast, Texas Expansion, Macro, Goldman, 4680, Schedule (06.30.22)
Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis
Rob Maurer
4.8 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 1 July 2022
⏱️ 21 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
➤ Walking through what to expect from Tesla’s Q2 delivery and production report
➤ Q2 GDP forecast dropped to negative
➤ PCE comes in below expectations
➤ Goldman Sachs publishes new TSLA note
➤ Permit shows planned expansion at Giga Texas
➤ Supreme Court rules to limit EPA control
➤ Plaid hits new top speed
➤ 4680 analysis video out
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Executive producer Jeremy Cooke
Executive producer Troy Cherasaro
Executive producer Andre/Maria Kent
Executive producer Jessie Chimni
Executive producer Michael Pastrone
Executive producer Richard Del Maestro
Executive producer John Beans
Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hey everybody Rob, now we're here to finally wrap up the second quarter. |
| 0:10.8 | I think we're all excited to move into Q3 looking forward to that. |
| 0:14.1 | So we're going to go through my Q2 delivery and production forecast today just to try |
| 0:18.7 | to contextualize what we might be looking at this weekend when Tesla releases this |
| 0:22.3 | report. |
| 0:23.3 | Again, that should be expected on Saturday. |
| 0:25.5 | Then we do just have a few other quick news items to go through today as well. |
| 0:29.2 | So we'll start off with the stock Tesla today down 1.75% roughly to close at $673.42 |
| 0:36.3 | trailing behind the NASDAQ a little bit, which was down 1.3%. |
| 0:40.3 | We did have a few pieces of macro news today, economic reports, first being the PCE. |
| 0:46.1 | So this is the personal consumption expenditures, not one that I look at super often, but |
| 0:51.8 | another measure of inflation, just like we talk about with the CPI. |
| 0:56.2 | And if we look at the core result here, which again excludes energy and food prices, |
| 1:00.9 | the core PCE did continue to fall this month up 4.7% year over year. |
| 1:08.4 | So that did come in slightly below what the forecast was. |
| 1:10.7 | And as you can see here, it looks like potentially peaked back in March. |
| 1:16.5 | So we've seen this come the year over year changes here decline for the last three months |
| 1:20.8 | in a row, which could be good news in terms of how we think about expectations for |
| 1:26.0 | industry increases going forward. |
| 1:28.7 | Of course, it's still a pretty high rate. |
| 1:30.6 | So we're going to want to see that continue to come down, or the Fed is going to want |
| 1:33.3 | to see that continue to come down, but at least moving in the right direction that they're |
... |
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