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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: What about city-busting (counter value) as deterrence in a Tripolar world? Henry Sokolski, NPEC

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Books, News, Society & Culture, Arts

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 30 September 2023

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: What about city-busting (counter value) as deterrence in a Tripolar world? Henry Sokolski, NPEC

1945 city-busting: Hiroshima

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is a preview of a conversation I had with my colleague Henry Sikolsky of the Nonproliferation

0:07.2

Policy Education Center about nuclear weapons, tactical nuclear weapons for the battlefield,

0:13.7

strategic nuclear weapons on ICBMs between sovereign states.

0:17.9

Once upon a time, it was about Moscow and Washington, the Cold War, strategic weapons,

0:24.3

and the question was, do we destroy cities, countervalue, or do we destroy the ability

0:31.2

to fire nuclear weapons?

0:32.8

Counter-force.

0:33.8

The decision was made by the U.S. and I believe Moscow was in on this as well.

0:40.7

Cities should not be destroyed.

0:42.4

What you need to do is destroy the ability of the enemy to strike back, so it became

0:46.1

known as the doctrine of counter-force.

0:48.8

Now there are three peer-equal nuclear-armed powers, China, Russia, and the United States,

0:56.1

and it appears that China and Russia are working together.

0:59.7

Do we need to rethink counter-value and counter-force?

1:04.9

Here's Henry.

1:06.9

No.

1:08.9

Bahawkish community thinks that if we can just get more nuclear weapons at the right time,

1:16.4

with other protections of command and control, we can do a much more humane and much more

1:24.2

effective job of deterring China and Russia.

1:28.5

The Dovish community looks at the idea of nuclear weapons and says whether they grind up people,

1:38.4

that was what they originally designed for, they are immoral.

1:42.0

So when someone says, well, we ought to just be brutish and target cities, even they are

...

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