Preview: Colleague Charles Ortel explains that the banks were busy selling the China miracle to spoil the mood with warnings of a property bubble. More later.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 5 May 2025
⏱️ 2 minutes
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Summary
1959 GREAT LEAP FORWARD
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is John Batchel, a conversation with colleague Charles Ortell in Southeast Asia, |
| 0:05.8 | about seeing ahead at the China market at the beginning of the 1990s. |
| 0:11.9 | The big banks who were recommending investment in China, did they see the bubble? |
| 0:17.2 | Did they tell the clients about the bubble? |
| 0:20.1 | Charles answers from the point of view of the stock market. |
| 0:23.8 | And who warned? Gordon warned. |
| 0:27.3 | Here's Charles Ortele, a long-time investor living in Southeast Asia, |
| 0:32.8 | about the bubble that has collapsed and why foreign investment is desired in China but not coming, |
| 0:41.8 | not again, not until Charles O'Tell, much more of this tonight. |
| 0:48.2 | Well, I think Gordon was the great visionary who saw this way before I did, but I think that there were, there's some, the folks who invented the term bricks, |
| 0:57.7 | there was a Goldman Sachs, I believe vice chairman who took credit for God's credit for that. |
| 1:04.8 | They got together on Wall Street and they sold this fiction, which I never bought into, |
| 1:10.0 | that serious investors would want to buy |
| 1:12.7 | basically stock that is not actually like the stock you and I'm invested in the U.S. |
| 1:18.7 | and other more rigorously managed markets. |
| 1:22.6 | And the euphoria just took shape. |
| 1:24.8 | Now, I do know one person who is a legendary shortseller, Jim Chanos, |
| 1:29.8 | who called this long ago and definitely acted on it. But it's tough to short the equity |
| 1:38.5 | securities in a tightly controlled country like China, because they, at the last minute, |
| 1:43.0 | could follow the U.S. example of 2007 through 9 and change the rules at the last second to target short sellers. |
| 1:51.7 | That said, Chanos is one of the best of the best, and I think he's probably sitting on some huge gains. |
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