Paul Mueller critiques industrial policy's resurgence, noting proponents conflate it with pro-market growth. He argues government direction leads to overproduction and resource misallocation, referencing China's EV troubles.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 26 September 2025
⏱️ 7 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I'm John Baxter. Paul Mueller is here, senior research fellow at the American Institute for |
| 0:08.2 | Economic Research, and he's done me the favor of writing up a book that I do not believe can make |
| 0:13.8 | my reading list. It's 600 pages, and it requires the attention of professional economists |
| 0:19.4 | and those who read this. |
| 0:21.0 | I'm an amateur reader, but I consume the news. |
| 0:24.4 | And so I come to tariffs, now a debate, but also I'll put them in action. |
| 0:29.0 | Tariffs and the People's Republic of China's EV production line. |
| 0:33.9 | Is it relevant to these cases, Paul, that the EV production line in China is said to have somewhere between 120 and 150 companies producing EVs? |
| 0:45.4 | BYD is the number one of that lot. |
| 0:48.2 | However, I'm told on bad days, BD BYD does not have a profit to show. |
| 0:53.6 | And in July of this year, their production of new |
| 0:57.6 | vehicles declined 3.8%. Meanwhile, they wait to get through the tariff barriers or even the |
| 1:04.5 | permission barriers of major states around the world. All of that, I'm presuming, is a product of |
| 1:10.2 | industrial policy. The CCP said, |
| 1:13.2 | do this, and everybody suddenly was building EVs all over the country. Now, that doesn't strike |
| 1:19.5 | me as an amateur or something to emulate, is it? I don't think so. I mean, the issue with China, and the way you describe it, I think, is accurate, where the CCP is giving directions, incentives, stimulus to produce, whether it's solar panels or EVs, it's very easy, or maybe I shouldn't say very easy. It's relatively easy to focus on producing a lot of one thing, right? Producing a lot of |
| 1:47.2 | steel, producing a lot of roads, producing a lot of vehicles. Now, I don't want to downplay. I mean, |
| 1:51.4 | there are a lot of impressive things about China. Their adoption of technology is impressive. |
| 1:55.2 | They have a lot of market signals that they're listening to in various parts of the country. |
| 1:59.3 | They're open to market. So they're in a far better situation than, say, the Soviet Union was back in the 60s and 70s. |
| 2:06.5 | But they have this problem, which is they can tell B.YD and these other manufacturers, build more cars, |
| 2:13.3 | dominate the EV market, build, build, build. But the whole point of a price system in markets |
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