New Orleans Saints 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 12 August 2022
⏱️ 13 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
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1. Sean Payton is out, Dennis Allen is in. Overall going from an offensive minded coach to defensive minded coach is a stay away for me for any long term bets BUT, Carmichael stays on as the OC who has 13 years of continuity with the roster. I think that matters and makes this the exception.
2. There are also many positives to expect from the offense due to personnel alone. The Saints get Michael Thomas back, added Jarvis Landry and drafted speeder Chris Olvae. There is hopefully stability with Winston under center after the Saints started 4 QB's in 2021.
3. The trio of wide receivers will mesh well with Winstons willingness to push the ball down field. Annually he is among the top of the list in air yards per throw and loves to be aggressive.
4. The extra impact of this is teams needing to respect the deep ball and speed of wide receivers. This in turn will open up space for Alvin Kamara from the backfield, who was singled out all last season due to so many injuries.
5. The addition of Maye and Mathieu negates some key losses in the secondary, but this is a defense despite a difficult schedule I believe can play to league average which is enough to keep this team competitive all season.
Bullish on the Saints. I think nine wins is the mark for them this season and I have bet them at +118 to make the playoffs.
Transcript
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| 0:00.7 | Good morning, everybody. |
| 0:01.9 | Today is Friday, August 12th, and we are wrapping up the week with one more NFL team preview |
| 0:06.6 | today, looking at the New Orleans Saints. |
| 0:09.1 | And like I had yesterday's podcast, we start today off with a bet. |
| 0:13.9 | And I've bet the New Orleans Saints plus 118 to make the playoffs. |
| 0:18.5 | So it is not a full-on stack like we had with the Vikings or the Giants or the Colts, which, yes, the preview is still to come, but I've done a lot of other media elsewhere where I've been able to speak about the Colts. We'll get to the Colts podcast potentially late this time next week. So keep an eye out for that one as it comes. We'll do a full rundown of what the prices are at the moment. But in terms of teams that I'm in general quite high on, Giants, Vikings, |
| 0:44.8 | Saints in the NFC, these are really the three that sort of round out the teams I really like |
| 0:49.4 | within the NFC overall. And we'll get to some unders as we get to a couple more teams a little bit later |
| 0:54.4 | here in the preview series. The Saints handicap can come from a couple of different angles. |
| 0:59.8 | I'll start with the head coaching change. Dennis Allen is in his head coach. Sean Payton is |
| 1:05.8 | out as head coach. I think this is impactful for reasons beyond just the offensive game planning |
| 1:13.4 | and play calling that Peyton was able to put together because Pete Carmichael has been with |
| 1:18.7 | the team as the OC for 13 years. So any offensive carryover that I think could apply to the Saints in |
| 1:26.0 | 2022 with Winston under center that came from the |
| 1:29.7 | Peyton offense, Carmichael is more than equipped to implement that. So although we were |
| 1:35.5 | changing from an offensive head coach in Sean Payton, who was brilliant, to a defensive head coach |
| 1:42.1 | in Dennis Allen, that 13 years of continuity sticking |
| 1:45.5 | with the team at the OC position was going to go a long way. So at face value, the loss from a |
| 1:53.7 | play calling perspective, I don't think is as impactful. The big thing that I'm concerned about, and this is really the main concern with |
| 2:03.1 | my bet on the Saints in 2022, is Sean Payton was arguably the best week-to-week game plan |
| 2:12.3 | adjuster in the entire league. And he was brilliant adjusting in play as well. |
| 2:19.4 | And so I know that the Saints are a couple years removed from a Drew Brees that could |
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