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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Las Vegas Raiders 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 15 August 2022

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Telegram Link: https://t.me/+ByNAj_cW_EdjZmIx 

Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/las-vegas-raiders-season-betting-preview-2022 

Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)


1. The Las Vegas Raiders were BIG overachievers in 2021 excelling in all the major categories that bettors love to look at as luck metrics. Point differential, one score games, second half combacks, schedule luck. Everything went the way of the Raiders in 2021. 

2. There is A LOT of optimism about the Raiders offense in 2022. The addition of Adams gives the Raiders arguably the best receiver trio in the league between WR/SLOT/TE with Adams, Renfrow and Waller. Each are terrific route runners and great in space. 

3. On paper, this looks ideal to pair with Derek Carr who is extremely accurate and consistent in his play. Annually he is one of the most overlooked QB's and now with top talent around him, everything is in place to succeed. 

4. The only problem I see is that in spending to get Adams, they neglected the offensive line. Carr season after season has played with an elite OL blocking for him. This season will be the worst he has ever had, with just one starter grading above average at his position in 2021. 

5. This is significant, because the splits for Carr when pressured vs kept clean turn him into a below average QB, rather than a top talent in the league. If all of the preseason love for this offense is fuelled by his past performance with a top OL, perhaps this team is over valued considering what he will have to do make do with this year. 

All that said, the Raiders defense will be terrible, and Las Vegas should find themselves in plenty of high scoring games this season against such a difficult schedule. A over team here in many ways, but not as clear cut as made out to be. 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everybody. Today is Monday, August 15th, and this morning we are looking at the

0:05.4

Las Vegas Raiders in another team preview episode here on the Simple Handicap. Before we dive

0:10.5

into it, not to start, I was hoping for 1, 3, and 1 to begin preseason betting in the Simple

0:17.1

Handicap Telegram channel. For those of you who may have joined the telegram or joined

0:22.1

the text list, but not been able to get both of them in time, all of that is cleaned up.

0:28.1

Betts will be posted in the Simple Handicap Telegram and only in the telegram going forward

0:34.2

for the duration of the 2022 season. There's nearly 4,000 betters in the channel.

0:39.7

If you signed up for the text list, that will be going away soon enough.

0:44.2

We'll keep it for alerts for shows as we head into the regular season.

0:47.5

But I encourage everybody to get over to the telegram channel if you want to keep up with shows

0:52.4

and keep up with bets as they are made if you

0:55.2

like the twitter bet threads from a season ago those will all happen in real time with alerts how you

1:02.9

want to receive them in the telegram channel and it is free as always if you want to join really

1:08.3

simple description of this podcast there's a link tap it it'll

1:12.3

launch telegram for you if you don't have the app it'll launch it to download it for you then you go

1:17.1

back and join the channel by tapping on the link it'll take you in there you're good to go you can

1:22.5

set notifications how you want there will be bets coming out possibly later this Monday afternoon, if not

1:30.8

certainly by Tuesday morning. So keep an eye on the Telegram channel as we get rolling and sort of

1:35.5

into the routine of betting on football each and every week. Less than two weeks from now at

1:41.0

Circa Sports in Las Vegas. If you're heading down to sign up for Circa Million or Circa Survivor Massive overlay, nearly $5 million of overlay. There's a lot of money

1:51.0

up at stake. It's going to be interesting to see what that number finishes at. But the preview panel

1:56.5

hosted by Mike Palm, I will be joining Brian Erlacker, Sean Hill, and Chris Bennett,

...

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