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On The Market

Major Forecasters Revise Price Predictions, “More Softening to Come”

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Business, News, Education, Investing

4.8859 Ratings

🗓️ 4 August 2025

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Why are home prices finally falling? And how deep will the correction go? The number of large housing markets experiencing falling home prices has tripled since January 2025. ResiClub editor-in-chief Lance Lambert joins On The Market host Dave Meyer to break down why this widespread softening is happening now, how price dynamics are pushing more buyers toward new construction, and whether we've reached the bottom of the softening cycle. Lance also shares data on underwater mortgages and delinquency rates to forecast whether signs point toward a cyclical correction or a catastrophic crash. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-344 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The number of large housing markets with falling home prices has tripled just since January.

0:05.9

And the data says even more markets will follow in the coming months.

0:09.7

Zillow has revised their nationwide home price projection down for the rest of 2025.

0:15.5

This trend, of course, has huge ramifications for real estate investors and industry professionals.

0:20.7

Today, we're going to

0:21.6

dive into what's happening in the housing market and how you can use these trends to your

0:25.6

advantage in your own investing. Welcome back to On the Market. I'm Dave Meyer. Lance Lambert

0:35.7

is back today on the show. He's the co-founder and editor-in-chief

0:39.5

of Rezi Club. Lance is going to help us break down the expanding trend of softening home prices.

0:45.3

We'll dig into some intriguing data about single-family home permits and his analysis of how

0:51.3

far mortgage rates would need to fall to create the refinancing boom,

0:55.2

I think everyone's waiting for. Let's dive in. Lance, welcome back to On the Market. Thanks for being

1:00.8

here. Good to see you again. Housing, housing, housing. There is always so much going on in the U.S.

1:06.9

housing market, especially right now. I love it. Well, that gave me the intro I was going to do,

1:11.8

but you already covered it for us. So for everyone who doesn't know, Lance runs a website and

1:18.2

newsletter called Resi Club, always looking at real estate data. So let's just start with sort of the

1:24.2

big headline that I think a lot of people are wondering about, which is home prices. We're now seeing a lot of major forecasters downgrade their forecast for the year.

1:36.2

What's behind all of that? And can you give us some details into how bad or good, depending on

1:42.4

how you see it, things might get.

1:44.7

Yeah.

1:52.6

So I think the big thing here is that there's been a widespread softening occurring in the housing market for a bit.

1:57.9

And when you look at the nationally aggregated data right now, all of the major indices are seeing a deceleration and their rate of appreciation. So if you look in the

...

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