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On The Market

Trump Wants 1% Rates: What Will Happen If He Gets Them

On The Market

BiggerPockets

News, Education, Business, Investing

4.8858 Ratings

🗓️ 7 August 2025

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Could President Trump's battle with Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve over interest rates actually lead to higher mortgage rates instead of the lower rates Trump is pushing for? On The Market host Dave Meyer explores how Trump's challenge to Fed independence might backfire (hint: bond investors don't like it) and the economy-wide implications for uncertain rates in the near future. This is a must-know topic for anyone accounting for future mortgage rates in their current investing strategy. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-345 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

President Trump wants a 1% federal funds rate, but could his big feud with Jerome Powell

0:05.6

backfire and actually result in even higher mortgage rates in the next few years?

0:10.5

If you've been trying to sift through the drama and just want to know where rates could

0:15.0

be headed in 2026 and beyond, today we're digging into Trump v. The Fed. Hey, everyone, welcome to On the Market. I'm Dave Meyer. If you've been watching the news

0:29.6

recently, you probably noticed the feud between President Trump and the Fed chair, Jerome Powell,

0:34.6

starting to escalate. The basic points here are that Trump wants lower interest rates, but the Fed chair, Jerome Powell, starting to escalate. The basic points here are that Trump wants

0:39.0

lower interest rates, but the Fed hasn't cut rates since 2024 due to a strong labor market

0:45.3

and fears of inflation. Trump has even speculated because of this rift about firing Powell,

0:51.7

or at least replacing him when his term ends next year.

0:55.7

But this isn't just any old feud, regardless of how it ends.

0:59.0

Just the fact that it's going on could send shockwaves through the financial system and could

1:03.9

directly impact mortgage rates and potentially not in the way Trump and many real estate investors

1:09.1

want to see.

1:10.2

So this is a really important topic.

1:11.8

And today, we're going to explore what this fight is all about and how it could wind up impacting

1:16.8

you. I'm going to start with a very quick, like two-minute overview of what the Fed is and how it

1:22.0

works. And then we'll talk about interest rates of whether Trump can actually achieve the cuts

1:27.1

that he wants. So the Fed is actually

1:29.3

short for the Federal Reserve. It's the central bank of the United States. It was created way back

1:34.0

in 1913, and its most basic job is to stabilize the financial system and the economy, and it

1:41.4

primarily does this through controlling interest rates, which is known as

1:45.5

monetary policy. Now, this is different than fiscal policy that lies in the hands of Congress,

...

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