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Wall Street Breakfast

Labor market strength with signs of weakness

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, Investing, Business, News

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 4 August 2023

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Transcript

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0:00.0

Good morning and happy Friday today is August 4th and I'm Rina Sherbal

0:05.3

filling in for Julie Morgan. Our top stories today, Labor Market Strength

0:10.8

with some signs of weakness, more earnings to dissect, and stock futures

0:16.2

rebound ahead of July jobs report. Our top story today, the US labor market is

0:22.1

expected to stay strong in July with jobs growth

0:24.7

continuing to outpace the number of workers coming into the job market and the

0:28.6

unemployment rate stay near 50-year lows. On average, economists expect 200,000 new jobs in July, down modestly,

0:37.0

from the 209,000 reported in June, when the BLS, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, issues its employment situation report on Friday.

0:46.1

Watch for the Labor Department's revisions to June and May numbers, as that might nudge the overall path.

0:52.2

The unemployment rate is seen staying at 3.6% and the labor force participation rate is expected

0:58.2

to remain unchanged at 62.6%.

1:02.0

Average hourly earnings growth is forecast to cool to 4.2% year over year, compared with 4.4% in June.

1:10.4

Giacomo Santangelo, an economist at Job Search site Monster, expects a strong print in July,

1:16.3

though he does not give a specific number.

1:18.6

The trend in growth in leisure and hospitality jobs and health care is likely to persist in the near term.

1:24.4

Leisure and hospitality continues to experience increased activity

1:28.0

as consumers are still eager to travel after the pandemic lockdowns in 2020 and 2021.

1:34.2

Jeffrey Rosenkrantz, portfolio manager at Shelton Capital,

1:37.8

sees the rebound from the pandemic continuing

1:40.0

to keep demand for labor strong.

1:42.2

He points out that companies are still hesitant to lay

1:44.8

off workers when business slows because they have such a hard time getting staff to full

...

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