How you feel about the economy may depend on how you vote
Marketplace All-in-One
Marketplace
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 12 July 2024
⏱️ 10 minutes
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Summary
Feelings about the economy have been sort of middling, with consumers optimistic about jobs but pessimistic about prices. But there’s another aspect of consumer surveys that doesn’t often get reported — sentiment can skew heavily partisan. Today: how consumers see the world through Republican or Democrat lenses. Plus, we’ll do the numbers on wholesale prices, hear about a Marathon Oil pollution settlement and learn about a downturn in TV and film production.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | When consumers see the world through Republican or Democrat lenses, |
| 0:06.0 | I'm David Brancatia, we get a fresh reading on consumer sentiment in just a bit. |
| 0:11.0 | This will be from the University of Michigan survey. |
| 0:13.7 | Feelings about the economy have been on average middling people like the job market but not the |
| 0:19.8 | rising prices. But there's another aspect that is worth scrutiny in these times. |
| 0:25.0 | Consumer sentiment can be partisan. |
| 0:27.0 | The University of Michigan survey, for instance, in there there's sometimes a 40 point gap between how Democrats or Republicans feel about the economy, |
| 0:36.0 | Marketplace's Mitchell Hartman reports. |
| 0:38.0 | The partisan divide in sentiment has been growing since the early 2010s, says Chris Jackson at |
| 0:44.5 | polling firm IPSOS. When their political opponents hold the White House, |
| 0:48.6 | Republicans say the economy is much worse than Democrats do, even at similar income or education levels. |
| 0:57.0 | Same for Democrats, they got much more bummed out after losing the 2016 election. Sentiment flipped again in 2020 and this year |
| 1:06.5 | says John Lear at Morning Consul... If Democrats were to lose the White House I |
| 1:11.5 | would expect to see Republicans become much more |
| 1:13.7 | optimistic about the economy. Now Lear insists consumer sentiment measures |
| 1:18.4 | are still valid because Republicans and Democrats respond to big economic events similarly, |
| 1:24.8 | becoming more pessimistic after a stock market shock or spike in inflation, for instance. |
| 1:30.5 | And independence, they tend to split right down the middle, pretty close to the average |
| 1:36.0 | sentiment level for Americans overall. |
| 1:38.8 | I'm Mitchell Hartman for Marketplace. |
| 1:41.8 | There's news wholesale prices in America were up two-tenths of a percent in June. |
| 1:46.7 | How does that fit into the emerging picture of a U.S. economy that has gone from hot to not so hot. |
... |
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