4 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 13 May 2024
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Economic crises can and do happen. But for every true crisis, there are many false alarms, says economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak. He explains how to live with the media's pervasive economic doomsaying, why we should stop treating financial forecasts like a precise science — and what we should embrace instead. After the talk, Modupe shares why she’s a “rational optimist” about economic narratives — and what "rational optimism" means to her.
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0:00.0 | Ted Audio Collective. |
0:02.0 | I'm old enough to remember Y2K. |
0:10.0 | That hollow doomsday when everyone said that the elevators would freeze, the electrical |
0:16.4 | grid would shut off, and the economy would collapse. |
0:20.8 | Everyone rushed out to stores to buy batteries to stock up for the apocalypse. |
0:26.0 | People were whipped into a frenzy, and this was before the true heyday of social media. |
0:31.0 | I can't even imagine what that would look like now. So the year 2000 |
0:35.8 | rolled around and we waited for the sky to fall, but weirdly it never did, which |
0:41.8 | begs the question, what if we aren't as good at forecasting the bad things |
0:47.4 | that are going to happen, be they technological, economic, social, as we think we are, and how can we keep ourselves from falling for these |
0:57.2 | false alarms? |
1:00.2 | I'm a dupeck andola. This is Ted Business. Our speaker today, economist |
1:06.6 | Philom Carlson Slezak, is skeptical about those who are always predicting |
1:11.8 | economic collapse. |
1:13.8 | He's asking us to resist the temptation |
1:16.3 | of succumbing to doom and gloom |
1:18.5 | and to keep our minds open to a different kind of variability. |
1:22.6 | Then after the talk, I'll discuss the idea of rational optimism |
1:27.4 | and what it means to me. |
1:29.6 | But first, a quick break. A Quick Break. |
1:35.0 | Add a little curiosity into your routine with TED Talks Daily, the podcast that brings you a new TED Talk every weekday. |
1:45.0 | In less than 15 minutes a day, you'll go beyond the headlines and learn about the big ideas shaping |
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