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FiveThirtyEight Politics

How Do All These Republican Polls Affect The Model?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 2 November 2022

⏱️ 58 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of “Model Talk." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode is brought to you by Slack. With Slack, you can bring all your people and

0:05.9

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0:11.1

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0:16.7

like huddles for quick check-ins or Slack Connect, which helps you connect with partners

0:20.9

inside and outside of your company. Slack, where the future works. Get started at

0:26.9

Slack.com slash DHQ. Do you want to know what I saw on the way walking over to the studio?

0:34.1

No. Weird owl, yank of itchers, dressing room? Huh. I think people who listen to this

0:42.3

podcast might be surprised to know how close we are to where the view, well, one, we're

0:48.8

in the same building and two, to get here from our offices, we have to walk past all

0:53.6

of the views, dressing rooms. Who's the biggest celebrity you've seen?

0:59.0

Kerry Washington was here last week. That's a pretty good celebrity, right? Yeah. I was in

1:03.5

the green room with Constance Wu a couple weeks ago and she said she follows 538. That's

1:09.3

good. Yeah. Yeah. Isn't that exciting? Yeah. Do you have you had any recent celebrity

1:14.0

sightings? No, I guess not. You're like, I see myself in the mirror every morning,

1:19.4

and what are you even talking about? Hello, and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.

1:33.6

I'm Dylan Drew. I'm Nate Silver. And this is Motel Talk. We haven't done that in

1:40.6

about a week. The last time we did it was live in Washington, DC. That's fun, wasn't

1:45.3

it? It was a good live show yet. Did it change your opinion at all about

1:49.2

Washington, DC? I feel like my dislike for DC is gotten

1:52.5

lemified more than disproportionately. Disproportionately. Yeah. Honestly, it did make me like DC more. We had

1:59.9

to go to the crowd was really fun. Yeah. We had a good time afterwards. Pretty good food.

2:05.1

Pretty good food. Yeah. I mean, honestly, no complaints. Is this the headline? Nate Silver

...

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