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Slack.com slash DHQ. Did anyone dress up for Halloween? I was mermaid man from SpongeBob.

Mermaid man. They're gonna skill from one to ten. How all in were you? I mean, I think

my costume was like a ten out of ten. My wife and I will be a pancake and she will be

a bottle of syrup. You live in Vermont. It had to be like a fun maple syrup reference,

right? That's fair. My costume is more in line with your costume, Jeffrey, than Alex's.

I was a cup of coffee. Nice. Because it's the only thing that's gonna get me through

the next week. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Galen Druke and happy

Halloween to those who celebrate. We are now one week away from Election Day. The Senate

forecast shows essentially a coin flip. Democrats have a 52% chance of keeping the chamber,

and the House, meanwhile, Republicans have an 82% chance of flipping that chamber. The

governor's races in Wisconsin, Nevada, and Oregon are all still toss-ups, but Arizona

now leans Republican. Today, we're gonna talk about one of the main elections responsible

for the tightening in the race for the Senate. Pennsylvania. After opening up a 10-point

lead in the polling average just last month, John Federman now leads Dr. Oz by only one

point. Much of that movement came before last week's debate, but we'll look at how voters

are reacting to that too. We're also gonna dive into our final pre-election round of issue

polling, which we've been conducting with it shows throughout the year. It shows the highest

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