4.6 • 730 Ratings
🗓️ 10 November 2025
⏱️ 56 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Please enjoy my monologue The Transformation II with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.
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I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.
To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/
You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/
Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast
My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel
Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Even more detail is coming next week. |
| 0:01.7 | But as I move towards my big annual event at the end of November, I want to reach back. |
| 0:08.6 | I want to give some inspiration, some mindset, the way to think about odds, chance, luck, and psychology. |
| 0:18.3 | What I am about to play is not exactly trading, but it's exactly trading. |
| 0:26.1 | Again, even more is coming next week, but as I prepare for the end of November, for a transformation to help transform as many people as possible. Let me give you something. |
| 0:38.8 | A blast from my past to wake you up and to remind you. |
| 1:02.0 | My guest today is Annie Duke, professional poker player, entrepreneur, author. |
| 1:10.5 | Today, we talk psychology, we talk expected value, we talk loss aversion, we talk decision decision making. The parallels between her world of poker, |
| 1:15.4 | the decision making in the corporate world, the decision making in the trading and investing |
| 1:19.5 | world, the decision making in the VC world, the crossover is absolutely amazing. I hope you |
| 1:26.8 | enjoy this conversation with Annie Duke. |
| 1:36.8 | So Annie, I have to tell a quick story why we're even talking today. |
| 1:40.7 | Sometime in 2007, I was in Macau, China. I was on a ferry going back to Hong Kong. |
| 1:45.9 | I heard a group of people ask a guy what he did for a living. I caught when that he was |
| 1:51.4 | involved in ESPN and poker programming. I tracked him down at customs in Hong Kong. I said, |
| 1:57.3 | listen, I'm doing this film. I'm talking all these traders, all these investors, and all they keep talking about poker and these connections to poker in their investing mindset. And I said, listen, you've got to help me. I need to land some people in the poker world. And he looks at me like, who are you? You're like a stalker in line in Hong Kong. He said, well, I said, well, I wrote these books. What book did you write? So I wrote this one book called Trinfongy's oh I read your book okay I'll help you and that was how I |
| 2:21.7 | ended up in the house of a very nice tall guy in Las Vegas who gave me some great |
| 2:28.6 | understandings about psychology and odds a tall guy that I think you know. That sounds like my brother. |
| 2:35.1 | Exactly. |
| 2:36.8 | And the guy that I talked to was Matt Moran's. |
| 2:39.6 | Oh, okay. |
| 2:40.6 | Yeah, he's a great guy. |
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