4.6 • 730 Ratings
🗓️ 17 November 2025
⏱️ 12 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Please enjoy my monologue The Transformation III with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.
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I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.
To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/
You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/
Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast
My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel
Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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| 0:00.0 | As I build up to Black Friday, yeah, it's just another day. But for me, it's one of those |
| 0:07.0 | transform days where I get the chance to help people transform, help people find the |
| 0:14.0 | transformation. Now this is tricky in a world that's built on illusion, because there's an art to sing clearly. |
| 0:22.9 | Look, my worldview is kind of well known, if you've had a chance to listen to this podcast, |
| 0:28.7 | but I can give a quick summary. |
| 0:31.5 | It's about flow and adaptation. |
| 0:34.8 | It's about process over prediction. |
| 0:37.4 | It's about modeling the greats. It's about process over prediction. It's about modeling the greats. |
| 0:40.3 | It's about real risk versus fake safety. Cutting through the noise. Mindset transformation. |
| 0:48.6 | Bayesian learning. Go listen to my Alison Gopnik on Bayesian babies if you've not heard. |
| 0:54.8 | Price as truth. |
| 0:56.8 | Trendfowling 101. |
| 0:58.3 | Human nature as the enemy. |
| 1:00.4 | Now that's a little harsh because if you understand human nature, it's not the enemy if you can harvest it. |
| 1:07.3 | And this all ties together. |
| 1:09.5 | Breaking free from the illusion. Learning to see clearly, learning to act systematically. |
| 1:15.8 | This is where I want to go today. |
| 1:18.1 | You know, when I talk about clarity, not this soft, dreamy clarity, you get from a motivational poster, but the kind you get when you strip away the illusion, the prediction, the ego, and the |
| 1:28.7 | endless noise that our world throws at us. Given all the technologies that we have, the ability |
| 1:35.6 | to find the truth, it's fascinating how much lying is going on. At the upper reaches of media |
| 1:43.6 | power, the lies are nonstop. And we have the ability |
| 1:48.7 | to now, with social media, especially X, define the truth. That wasn't always the case. Now look, |
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