- Markets are undergoing a clear risk-off rotation, with speculative assets like tech, crypto, and precious metals selling off after periods of extreme greed and overcrowded positioning.
- Precious metals remain in a long-term bull market but may require one to two years of consolidation before sustainably moving higher.
- Crypto's sharp drawdowns and volatility are described as a feature, not a flaw, but current volatility suggests it is not yet an attractive risk-reward entry.
- Capital is rotating into value and defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, utilities, energy, and industrials.
- Value stocks are outperforming growth stocks, marking a notable regime shift from the past decade's market leadership.
- Defensive, cash-flow-generating businesses are highlighted as portfolio stabilizers during periods of market stress.
- Weakening labor market data and rising layoffs are adding to macro uncertainty and undermining the soft-landing narrative.
- Correlations across risk assets are rising, reducing the diversification benefits of traditionally speculative assets like crypto.
- Market indices such as the NASDAQ are less reflective of pure tech weakness due to non-tech constituents providing offsetting support.
- Liquidity is described as moving like water, flowing out of stressed sectors and into areas showing relative strength.
- The January seasonal "risk-on" effect failed to materialize, suggesting macro forces are overpowering historical patterns.
- Short-term technical indicators show elevated volatility but not yet a definitive structural breakdown.
- Investors are encouraged to focus on where money is flowing rather than what looks cheap after a selloff.
Dump Your Tech... This Sector Is Booming...
Money Tree Investing
Money Tree Investing Podcast
4.6 • 733 Ratings
🗓️ 11 February 2026
⏱️ 51 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Dump your tech because this sector is booming and we are going to tell you what it is! Today we talk the sharp risk-off shift across markets as recent selloffs in crypto, precious metals, and especially technology reflect excessive greed being unwound rather than a systemic collapse. This is not a buy-the-dip environment, and you shouldn't be chasing volatility-heavy assets like crypto and metals too early. We also highlight a clear rotation of liquidity away from growth and speculative assets into value-oriented, defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, industrials, utilities, energy, and select international stocks, as these boring, low-beta areas are sometimes outperforming amid tech weakness, layoffs, earnings disappointments, and rising macro uncertainty, making capital preservationn and patience more important than chasing rebounds.
We discuss...
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Money Tree Investing Podcast. |
| 0:04.8 | Stock market, wealth, personal finance, value stocks, invest in your life. |
| 0:11.1 | Hello, SmartMoney Tree podcast listeners, welcome this week show. |
| 0:13.8 | My name's Kirk Chisholm. |
| 0:14.7 | I'll be your host. |
| 0:15.5 | And today I'm joined with Doug Hagerin. |
| 0:17.1 | Hey, Doug. |
| 0:18.1 | Hey, Kirk. |
| 0:18.9 | Good to be here. |
| 0:19.9 | Unlike other things, I haven't melted. |
| 0:23.9 | Cross my fingers. My ice rink hasn't melted either. So I hate to break it to you. It's coming because we're |
| 0:29.8 | getting almost 50 in Minnesota and you know you're a couple days behind us on that e-waves. |
| 0:34.2 | It's still cold at night. It's still in a single digits of night. But we, but next week we're going to see like the low 30s. And you know what? Cold at night? That means like you basically have a built-in Zamboni. It'll fall a little bit during the day, kind of smooth in those grooves and then next morning. It was only that easy, Doug. That's not how works. No, you got to flood it. You got to put water down, |
| 0:55.1 | which, you know, water costs money, Doug. But yeah, you got to put some water down, layer it at night, make it nice and clean, shovel it off and do all the stuff. Yeah, it is not easy to maintain. Too much damn work. You need a pond around here and just shovel it off and play. And then the ponds get all messy too. It's just it's tough. This has been a tough |
| 1:13.6 | winter for the rink, I have to say. I mean, we've had a lot of ice time, but like people have been sick, so we haven't really used it as much as we normally do, but whatever is what it is. Anyway, I don't know what to talk about today, Doug. Like, nothing's going on in the markets. Like, have you noticed anything? Everything out there is underwhelming. |
| 1:31.6 | I feel like maybe a little depleted. I don't know. Got any ideas? Last live was on Monday, which we recap the Friday |
| 1:38.4 | meltdown of the precious metal sector and of crypto. pretty much every day, with exception today, |
| 1:45.4 | crypto's melting down. You know, it's kind of getting close to the point we're like, |
| 1:49.4 | eh, maybe we can find a bottom soon. I don't know. I'm not sure we're there yet, |
| 1:54.4 | but a lot of people have been liquidated, I think is the term they're used. |
| 1:59.0 | The late jumpers are feeling the pain right now. |
| 2:01.5 | The early jumpers are still doing really, really nicely and are well ahead. But yeah, if you jumped in, we talked about the six months ago, get in early. If you jumped in recently, it's a little painful. Well, this is why I have to say on top of things. This is why I get early. because when you get on late, like if you got into precious metals in January, you saw they |
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