December Memories
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 4 December 2020
⏱️ 17 minutes
🔗️ Recording | Apple Podcasts | RSS
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Summary
Early December is a tough time of year for my writing inspiration. I have soooooo much I want to say about 2020, but we really aren’t done yet, and this year as much as any other, affirms the reality that a lot can happen in a few days, let alone a few weeks. I also have a lot I want to say about 2021, but my “forecast” and “positioning” perspectives for the year ahead are also better served later in the month or early next month. Patience is a virtue, and as much as I am excited to delve into a yearly review and yearly projection, we are a few weeks off still. But it isn’t like there is nothing else to write about. Markets ended November and kicked off December this week with a move higher (as of press time, which is pre-market Friday, the Dow is up +330 points on the week, and futures are pointing to a +125 move higher. Congressional leaders in both chambers and from both parties are in heavy discussions about a new stimulus/relief bill. The incoming administration is announcing more and more of their incoming policy team. World energy markets are re-calibrating around clearer (and more improved) supply/demand dynamics. And, of course, the reality of a highly contagious respiratory virus continues to work its way through society, with various policy and economic ramifications coming in its wake.
Every year the first couple of weeks of December have a few things in common – we are too far away from recapping the year we are in, we are too far away to start making the year ahead predictions, tax-loss harvesting needs to be executed, various holiday and seasonal events and tasks take center stage, and yes, regular market and news “stuff” takes place.
This week’s Dividend Cafe will jump around a bit but offer a bit of history, a bit of present market tension, and of course, a bit of looking into the future.
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:12.9 | Well, hello and welcome to this week's Dividend Cafe, a podcast and those you watch on the video. |
| 0:20.2 | I am sitting here recording. I'm getting ready to jump |
| 0:23.6 | on a plane. I'm right here at LAX and you can't see out my window, but I literally will be just |
| 0:30.9 | leaving here in moments to jump on the plane and fly to New York, where I'll be working out of our |
| 0:36.2 | New York office for the next couple of weeks. |
| 0:39.2 | So I kind of wanted to do something a little bit different this morning. |
| 0:45.0 | I wrote this week's Dividy Cafe from here this morning getting ready to get on the plane |
| 0:51.1 | about the month of December. And it is a little bit nostalgic, |
| 0:56.8 | not really. There are some investment takeaways that I really want you to kind of consider |
| 1:01.4 | what I'm going to talk about here. But, you know, it's an odd time of year. The early part |
| 1:08.5 | of December is tricky because it's not just perhaps what you're |
| 1:13.3 | looking ahead to, but I mean, I'm more projecting. I'm wanting to write and talk about |
| 1:20.5 | recapping the year that just was. And I'm wanting to write about and talk about the year ahead and various, you know, |
| 1:31.0 | forward-looking predictions and forecast and strategic decisions. |
| 1:35.8 | We're making on behalf of client portfolios. |
| 1:39.0 | And yet we're kind of too early into December here to get ahead. |
| 1:43.9 | And so you have like the next few weeks still where you could taste the end of the year. |
| 1:49.0 | You're clearly well into the holiday season. |
| 1:52.7 | And yet we're not really there yet. |
| 1:55.0 | And we want to be able to get further along with the ending of 2020 in particular before we tie a bow around 2020. |
| 2:06.5 | And yet we also want to have as much time to fully consider and work through our forecast in the |
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