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Best of the Spectator

Coffee House Shots: is a Tory majority now inevitable?

Best of the Spectator

The Spectator

News Commentary, News, Daily News, Society & Culture

4.4785 Ratings

🗓️ 9 December 2019

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With James Forsyth and Katy Balls.

Presented by Cindy Yu.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Just before you start listening to this podcast, a reminder that we have a special subscription offer.

0:04.8

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0:10.3

Go to spectator.com.uk forward slash voucher if you'd like to get this offer.

0:17.3

Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, The Spectators' Daily Politics Podcast.

0:22.3

I'm Cindy Yu and I'm joined by James Forsyth and Katie Balls.

0:26.0

So it's the last three days of this election campaign and it's all hands on deck.

0:30.2

Brois Johnson is starting his last few days of campaigning in the northeast at a fish market in Grimsby.

0:35.4

Katie, where is the cons Conservative campaign at at the moment?

0:38.3

There's a range in the polls, but they still all predict a Tory lead, and that lead is

0:43.1

from six points to 14 points. Now, anything below seven points is when Tories would be a bit jittery,

0:50.1

because you can't quite predict how that vote falls. So it could lead to majority, it could lead to hung parliament.

0:56.6

I do think the Tories feel a bit more confident than perhaps this time last week.

1:01.8

And I mean, now they're into the stage doubling down on their messages and trying to get the vote out.

1:07.2

And I think you're going to see Boris Johnson, as James wrote in his son column,

1:12.9

trying to, you know, get out and about. But you're're going to see Boris Johnson, as James wrote in his son column, trying to, you know, get out and about.

1:18.1

But you're also going to see, you know, one thing that's happening is big digital spend by the Tories.

1:20.9

So it's really all about hammering that message home.

1:28.6

And the starting point is to go to lots of leave labour seats, the so-called Red Wall where we know Boris Johnson and the Tory seat is key to picking up seats to make up for any losses and winning a Tory majority.

1:34.7

And then from there, he's going to visit every region in England and Wales over the final few days.

1:41.9

Again, hammering that message home, he is not going to Scotland in the final few days,

1:46.9

which I suspect, given that the Scotland polls look fairly good for the Scottish juries,

1:52.8

isn't because that is seen as a no hope place,

...

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