5 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 14 May 2025
⏱️ 49 minutes
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0:00.0 | We are really lucky to be joined by Leonard Heim. He said China is catching up with the US in AI |
0:05.0 | capabilities and that it didn't matter. What's America's big advantage? Having eight times |
0:10.6 | more of the resource, which is the most important. Let's start on why compute matters and what it |
0:15.9 | drives. I think it's kind of to say computers like the currency of AI. Every time it's being produced |
0:20.3 | requires computing power. If you have less compute, you've got less AI workers. And population |
0:24.4 | size is pretty important for economic growth. There is this question about a world where compute |
0:29.3 | resources are highly concentrated. Typically in political systems, we don't like concentration |
0:34.3 | of power. Let's look at the status quo. I think like 60 to 70% of all |
0:37.7 | supercomputers are in the US. I'm not an anti-trans lawyer, but I think this is at least something |
0:41.8 | one should look into. This also explains in a sense why the EU and why India and also the UAE |
0:48.4 | are pushing for their own compute infrastructure. So this sense of this concentration risk is really |
0:54.1 | being noticed |
0:55.0 | increasingly over the last five years. How do you imagine it plays out? I don't think the plan |
0:59.7 | is like every country is going to like redevelop the whole tech stack and come up a down solution. |
1:04.2 | Again, maybe I'm a little bit too much kumbaya. It would be nice if we can just get together |
1:08.2 | and just say like you're the standards, here're sort of the democratic world is doing AI. |
1:18.8 | We are really lucky to be joined by Lenart Heim. He is a researcher and information scientist at Rand, |
1:25.7 | the OG of think tanks. He's been an advisor of E. Pop, which is an |
1:30.0 | AI research group, which readers of exponential view know that we rather like. I have been following |
1:36.4 | his work for a long time, and he recently wrote an essay on the China Talk substack, |
1:43.1 | arguing two things. He said China is catching up with the US |
1:46.9 | in AI capabilities and that it didn't matter. So that is something to talk about. Let's get into |
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