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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Are Millennials Getting More Conservative?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 19 June 2023

⏱️ 72 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

There’s been a lot thrown at Republican voters over the past few weeks. The field of primary candidates has doubled; the leading contender in the primary was federally indicted on 37 counts related to his handling of classified documents and alleged obstruction of justice; and a contest that had remained largely deferential to Trump has gotten more testy. In this installment of the podcast, pollster Kristen Soltis-Anderson and Washington Post data columnist David Byler join Galen to look at how Republican primary voters are processing the news and what they want from a presidential nominee. They also ask the timeless question: What is up with the kids these days? Various analyses have come to conflicting conclusions about whether millennials and young voters in general are bucking a generations-long trend of growing more conservative with age. And they play a new game called “Which Candidate Said This?” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey there listeners, Gaelin here. I just wanted to let you know that we are off for the Juneteenth

0:04.3

holiday and I'll also be off for the first half of this week. So we recorded this podcast last Friday.

0:10.7

So if you hear any data or information that says today, we're talking about Friday June 16th.

0:17.8

Hope you enjoy and we will see you soon.

0:24.9

Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Gaelin Drig.

0:29.2

There's been a lot thrown at Republican voters over the past few weeks. The field of primary

0:34.6

candidates has doubled with the addition of Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, Doug

0:38.8

Bergam and most recently, Miami Mayor Francis Suarez. The leading contender in the primary was

0:44.4

federally indicted on 37 counts related to his handling of national secrets and a ledged

0:49.9

obstruction of justice. In a contest that had remained largely deferential to Trump,

0:55.2

has gotten more tested with attacks coming from some of Trump's formerly close allies.

1:00.9

So today, we're going to look at how Republican primary voters are processing all of this.

1:05.7

And candidate names aside, what are they telling pollsters that they want from a presidential nominee?

1:11.6

We're also going to ask the timeless question, what is up with the kids these days?

1:16.8

Various analyses have come to conflicting conclusions about whether millennials and younger voters in general

1:22.9

are bucking a generation's long trend of growing more conservative with age. Are those conclusions

1:29.3

a good or bad use of polling? And we're going to play a new game called Which Candidate Said This?

1:36.0

Hang around and you will learn more details as we go. But here with me to do all of this is

1:40.6

Kristen Soltis-Anderson. She's the founder of polling firm Eschalan Insights and is the author of

1:45.6

the book The Selfie Vote, where millennials are leading America and how Republicans can keep up.

1:51.6

Welcome back to the podcast, Kristen. Thank you so much for having me, Galen.

1:54.9

Also here with us is Washington Post, Data Columnist David Biler. He recently wrote a piece titled

...

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