Andrew Sheets: Are Lower Interest Rates Always Beneficial?
Thoughts on the Market
Morgan Stanley
4.8 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 20 September 2019
⏱️ 3 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says although lower interest rates help boost economic activity, the full impact is more complicated.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to |
| 0:03.4 | thoughts in the market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross Asset |
| 0:06.0 | Strategist to Morgan Stanley. |
| 0:07.2 | Along with my colleagues bring you a variety of perspectives, |
| 0:10.0 | I'll be talking about trends across the global |
| 0:11.8 | investment landscape and how we put those different ideas together. |
| 0:14.6 | It's Friday, September 20th at 2 p.m. in London. |
| 0:18.4 | When Central Banks reduce interest rates or buy bonds directly through quantitative easing, they lower the interest rate on safe |
| 0:24.3 | government bonds. In theory, this should lower the cost of businesses and individuals to borrow, |
| 0:29.5 | spurring confidence and economic activity. But like a lot of things in life, the story is more complicated. |
| 0:35.0 | Let's start with housing. In theory, lower interest rates help consumers by making mortgages |
| 0:39.6 | less costly, and they do. But given that interest rates have already been low for a while, the impact |
| 0:44.8 | of recent moves for homeowners is relatively modest. And for renters, who represent a much larger |
| 0:50.0 | share of households in the U.S. and the UK than 15 years ago, it doesn't help at all. |
| 0:54.8 | What about savings? |
| 0:56.2 | Government bonds are popular for people near retirement who given their stage in life have |
| 1:00.2 | less appetite for risk. |
| 1:01.9 | And the lower these bond yields, the more savings are |
| 1:04.4 | necessary to generate a given amount of retirement income. If you are 65 years old in the |
| 1:09.0 | UK and would like to buy an annuity that pays you about 25,000 pounds per year for the rest of your life, |
| 1:15.0 | that's about $31,000, you need to have about $600,000 or about $750,000 in retirement savings. |
| 1:23.6 | No wonder people feel pressure to save more rather than spend. |
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